this post was submitted on 18 Jan 2026
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No Stupid Questions

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Sad this got downvoted. The engagement was really good.

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As much as anybody could “win” at war, I don’t think it would be possible with Trump as Commander in Chief. He wouldn’t have a head for tactics, and his blatant narcissism would refuse to allow generals (who are educated in war tactics and know what to do) to make decisions for him.

Realistically? If war broke out, I could see congress using it as a catalyst to finally impeach him. At least by removing Trump from office, they’d have someone who would actually listen to counsel.

But if Trump remains in office, he’d inevitably end up doing whatever is best for Russia. And that means he’d likely end up with the US in a war of attrition, dragging things out as long as possible, with each side taking large losses while Putin sits back and watches it all play out (and quietly takes Ukraine while everyone is distracted by their own wars).

[–] pjwestin@lemmy.world 2 points 18 hours ago

No. Facism rewards loyalty and cronyism, not competency. We have the most powerful military on the planet, but the regime is full of bumbling idiots whose only skills are flattering the president. For now, there's enough brainpower left at the Pentagon to pull off the Maduro abduction or invade Greenland, but after a few years of Trump/Hegseth/Miller calling the shots and firing anyone who points out their mistakes, we'd be toast.

[–] W98BSoD@lemmy.dbzer0.com 34 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

The only winning move is not to play.

[–] oopsgodisdeadmybad@lemmy.zip 4 points 1 day ago

As much as anybody "wins" at war, I absolutely hope we lose. I'm glad Germany lost, so I want us to lose.

I honestly have no idea how split people were in Germany at the time, but given that the Nazis are back for a sequel, then I hope they lose and lose BAD. Like bad to the point that they do some "political cleansing" of the entire government. I don't think there's a benefit of having any conservatives in power at all. Just straight up murder should still be wrong, but if any get good for the paddles come out. Bring conservative and holding power greater than student body president shouldn't happen anywhere, ever, for any reason.

[–] Binturong@lemmy.ca 29 points 1 day ago

Tell me more about how you don't understand war at all. Nobody wins.

[–] Kolanaki@pawb.social 58 points 2 days ago (1 children)

There would be no winners.

[–] NoWeJustSellShoes@lemmynsfw.com 21 points 2 days ago (1 children)

This is defense contractor erasure.

[–] Kolanaki@pawb.social 12 points 2 days ago (1 children)

What good is money when everyone is dead?

[–] discocactus@lemmy.world 5 points 1 day ago (1 children)

It's not even as good when everyone is just scraping by. If you've never been to a place that's truly thriving it's kind of amazing. Rising tides lift all boats and tsunamis don't care about bank balances.

[–] Omgpwnies@lemmy.world 1 points 1 day ago

Tsunamis are only really noticeable/dangerous in shallow water too, so that analogy doubly checks out

[–] melsaskca@lemmy.ca 4 points 1 day ago

There would be no nukes because then all the "businessmen" couldn't sell artillery anymore. /s

[–] rezz@lemmy.world 76 points 2 days ago

No one wins.

[–] favoredponcho@lemmy.zip 14 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

What would its goals be? Realistically, the US was probably bound for conflict with China and Russia before Trump. Now, Trump is creating a scenario where the US will have conflict with its allies and China. This is Russia’s doing.

Militarily, Russia has shown itself to be weak. The US could easily crush Russia in a conventional conflict if it wanted too, but there would be a risk of nukes popping off. Thats why Biden’s strategy was to let it bleed out in Ukraine and hope Putin got toppled internally in the fallout.

Trump creating conflict with US allies creates a scenario where they must work with China. It’s uncertain how that will go, but if the US invades another country, it will likely encounter a prolonged guerrilla conflict and be bogged down there like Vietnam, Korea, Afghanistan, and Iraq. China will help the other side make it as painful as possible.

Also, this conflict is unlikely to be popular in the US and rather than pulling together like in WWII, Americans will scatter or resist. At least half the country wouldn’t support the war and with the US being the aggressor there is a real chance bombs could fall on US soil. People will flee. Americans will become refugees.

[–] Witchfire@lemmy.world 8 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Americans are already fleeing as political refugees, regardless of whether or not asylum is involved. I did it on a work permit but the mental and physical stresses are all there (I'm tired boss)

[–] oeuf@slrpnk.net 34 points 2 days ago (1 children)

If there is a third world war I think either everyone will lose in one day (nuclear weapons), or it will be sabotage and 'special military operations' everywhere for decades, and not named as a world war until later.

[–] yermaw@sh.itjust.works 20 points 2 days ago (1 children)

If that's right were already in it

[–] PlutoniumAcid@lemmy.world 5 points 1 day ago

Yes, we are.

The only good thing about it is that it isn't the alternative: total nuclear annihilation. (Some days I wonder if that would be better)

[–] BarneyPiccolo@lemmy.today 11 points 1 day ago (3 children)

They haven't won a major armed conflict decisively, since WW2.

[–] HobbitFoot@thelemmy.club 2 points 1 day ago

The Korean and Vietnam Wars were constrained by not trying to turn the Cold War hot. Also, Vietnam was as much about nation-building as it was fighting an enemy.

The invasion of Grenada met all military objectives.

The Gulf War was such a success that it changed war doctrine for those choosing to fight the USA after.

The USA intervention into Somalia fell apart as the government the USA supported collapsed.

The USA intervention into Yugoslavia got Serbia to withdrawal troops from Kosovo.

The Afghanistan War successfully toppled the previous Taliban government, the USA just couldn't build a new government to replace the existing one.

The USA toppled Saddam Hussein rather quickly after the Iraq War; the current government is wildly different in form from the old one.

The USA successfully kidnapped the Venezuelan President.

Most of the USA's war losses were due to attempts to nation-build. If the USA chooses not to nation-build, it can launch major military attacks to disable opponents. In those fights, the USA dominates.

[–] Griffus@lemmy.zip 2 points 1 day ago

And that was as part of a team, which they are actively moving to isolate from now.

[–] FaceDeer@fedia.io 27 points 2 days ago (2 children)

By some standards WWIII is already in progress. And no, America isn't winning. Its power and influence are contracting rapidly.

[–] forkDestroyer@infosec.pub 2 points 1 day ago (1 children)

I agree that it's already started.

I don't know about America losing. We have a wacko in charge that would rather nuke the world than admit defeat.

[–] FaceDeer@fedia.io 1 points 1 day ago

I'd consider that a "lose" condition.

It's possible for everyone to lose a war.

[–] madcaesar@lemmy.world 16 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Caused by ITSELF

All loses the USA is taking are all fucking own goals.

The USA is the equivalent of starting the game up 100-0 (due to WW2) and then proceeding to just unload 30 meter bangers into its own goal.....

[–] discocactus@lemmy.world 7 points 1 day ago

Arguably caused by psyops and political capture by China and Russia but. Technically caused by US citizens, albeit traitors.

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[–] Vaggumon@lemmy.zip 11 points 1 day ago

As an American, I hope not.

[–] SomeAmateur@sh.itjust.works 13 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

Some people think it goes to nukes immediately. I don't think so. It will stay sidelined like chemical weapons that were used in WW1 but avoided and unused in WW2.

The US does not have the industrial capability that it once had and has struggled with manufacturing of electronic components. Now maybe that can be changed, but maybe not fast enough to matter. But as far as current capability they got combat experience and are the only nation that has proven ability to project military power worldwide. As long as logistics keep up they can kick serious ass.

China makes a ton of stuff already, and that would make a hell of a wartime production rate that can scale too. Their military is untested, but large, new and growing. They are the gorilla in the room. Hell they might think Russia is the easier fish to fry and take them on first.

But there's also the chance of everything falling apart where most nations desintigrate into a long term state of fracture with infighting and homeland problems overriding any possibility of winning a global fight, and therefore preventing a large world war like we've seen in the past. Rand calls it neomedievalism

[–] Steve@communick.news 22 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

That's a very complicated question.
Which nations are on which sides?
What's the competing ideologies?
What was the inciting incident?

Without those details and many more, nobody could hope to predict.

[–] angelmountain@feddit.nl 18 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

The only winners will be the people selling the guns.

[–] blarghly@lemmy.world 6 points 2 days ago (1 children)
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[–] cuboc@lemmy.world 15 points 2 days ago

Which America are you referring to? North, meso, or south?

In case you are referring to the United States of, they are losing allies and partners fast. They would have to fight wars on many fronts and that never ends well.

Furthermore, they are moving towards a civil war, so one of their fronts will be on their own soil.

Their arrogance and entitlement will prolong the war, but in the end, they'll lose.

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.europe.pub 14 points 2 days ago (3 children)

I can't make head or tails of who would be fighting whom in that war.

If a WW was to break tomorrow, it would probably be because of Trump making true his threats to attack NATO in order gain definite control over Greenland?

Probably USA would be its own side without allies?
Then there would probably be NATO as one side, most likely with Australia and Japan on the same team as NATO. And, I'd say, probably all of Southern and Central America.
And the Russia and Iran with China? Pakistan would probably be on their side, so India would seek something else. More likely NATO than USA?

But then again, WWIII would be such a big deal that it feels weird imagining it might end up a three-sided war. The loosest piece on this board is USA... If it allies with one of the sides, will that side be that of NATO or that of the Russia?

Hm. Well, if it allies with China and the Russia, it gets super difficult for NATO to keep shit together. Then again, the Canadian border is not all that far away from DC, and Latvia is not far away from Moscow. We'd probably also have Ukraine on our side, and they can teach a lot about modern warfare!

All in all: If USA manages to ally with someone, that side is likely to win. If it remains alone, it will probably lose. I would say that in a situation where USA doesn't ally with anyone, NATO would be the side losing the least.

But, in the end nobody wins in a war.

[–] Ioughttamow@fedia.io 9 points 2 days ago

I think if Trump attacks NATO there will be a serious possibility that the USA erupts in civil war

[–] ozymandias117@lemmy.world 3 points 1 day ago

If the US really tried to take Greenland by force, I think China would see the opportunity and try to align with the remnants of NATO

Whether the other countries in NATO agree or not... Dunno

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[–] Xilia112@lemmy.world 9 points 2 days ago

America is unable to function by itself and is on tour to implode. How are they going to win a war, no one in the country is willing to put up a real fight either.

It is the most divided political landscape on the planet right now, on the brink of a potentional civil war, which is the only fight they will do if they decide to grow a spine.

[–] adespoton@lemmy.ca 10 points 2 days ago

Nobody wins. Someone just gets control of the official narrative.

But who’s the “you” you’re asking here?

[–] DeathByBigSad@sh.itjust.works 9 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

I'd get the Japanese American treatment. 👀

(I'm Chinese American)


So it depends on what you mean by "America"....

The constitution? Nah, its definitely dead and buried in a ww3 scenario.

Rich cis-het white conservative christian men? Yea they'd win, if you count living in a bunker¹ with trigger happy soldiers/security ready to overthrow them as a "win"; I bet the entire bunker will go into psychological breakdown after no outside + sunlight for a year.

¹Cuz Nukes went 💥🌇

[–] mrdown@lemmy.world 9 points 2 days ago

Who are the allies of each side?

[–] L0rdMathias@sh.itjust.works 9 points 2 days ago

The question shows a fundamental misunderstanding of the purpose of war. The purpose of war is to defeat your enemy and make them lose, it was never about making you win.

Its not like a video game where you just deal enough damage or accumulate enough points and your adversaies give up to grant you a victory.

War is an eternal conflict until the last man is standing. Its never been about winning always about not losing.

[–] dhork@lemmy.world 7 points 2 days ago
[–] Zorsith@lemmy.blahaj.zone 7 points 2 days ago

The US would lose faster than most, as it is a higher priority target for nuclear weaponry.

[–] verdi@tarte.nuage-libre.fr 7 points 2 days ago

We should do our very best to make sure it doesn't... 

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