this post was submitted on 22 Jan 2026
588 points (97.9% liked)

News

34351 readers
3064 users here now

Welcome to the News community!

Rules:

1. Be civil


Attack the argument, not the person. No racism/sexism/bigotry. Good faith argumentation only. This includes accusing another user of being a bot or paid actor. Trolling is uncivil and is grounds for removal and/or a community ban. Do not respond to rule-breaking content; report it and move on.


2. All posts should contain a source (url) that is as reliable and unbiased as possible and must only contain one link.


Obvious right or left wing sources will be removed at the mods discretion. Supporting links can be added in comments or posted seperately but not to the post body.


3. No bots, spam or self-promotion.


Only approved bots, which follow the guidelines for bots set by the instance, are allowed.


4. Post titles should be the same as the article used as source.


Posts which titles don’t match the source won’t be removed, but the autoMod will notify you, and if your title misrepresents the original article, the post will be deleted. If the site changed their headline, the bot might still contact you, just ignore it, we won’t delete your post.


5. Only recent news is allowed.


Posts must be news from the most recent 30 days.


6. All posts must be news articles.


No opinion pieces, Listicles, editorials or celebrity gossip is allowed. All posts will be judged on a case-by-case basis.


7. No duplicate posts.


If a source you used was already posted by someone else, the autoMod will leave a message. Please remove your post if the autoMod is correct. If the post that matches your post is very old, we refer you to rule 5.


8. Misinformation is prohibited.


Misinformation / propaganda is strictly prohibited. Any comment or post containing or linking to misinformation will be removed. If you feel that your post has been removed in error, credible sources must be provided.


9. No link shorteners.


The auto mod will contact you if a link shortener is detected, please delete your post if they are right.


10. Don't copy entire article in your post body


For copyright reasons, you are not allowed to copy an entire article into your post body. This is an instance wide rule, that is strictly enforced in this community.

founded 2 years ago
MODERATORS
 

Experts are warning that the Trump administration's ongoing crackdown in Minnesota could quickly get out of hand and could even result in a second US civil war.

Claire Finkelstein, a professor at the University of Pennsylvania Carey Law School, wrote in a Wednesday column published by the Guardian that she and her colleagues at the Center for Ethics and the Rule of Law (CERL) conducted a tabletop exercise in October 2024 that simulated potential outcomes if a US president were to carry out law enforcement operations similar to the ones being conducted by the Trump administration with US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officers in Minnesota.

"In that exercise, a president carried out a highly unpopular law-enforcement operation in Philadelphia and attempted to federalize the Pennsylvania’s National Guard," Finkelstein explained. "When the governor resisted and the guard remained loyal to the state, the president deployed active-duty troops, resulting in an armed conflict between state and federal forces."

top 50 comments
sorted by: hot top controversial new old
[–] echodot@feddit.uk 11 points 13 hours ago

I'm pretty sure that's actually the point.

They want violence so they can justify themselves. Because if it ever gets to the point where these monsters are in front of a judge they're going to need some justification or they're going to have a bad time. They knew this, or at least some of them know this, and therefore are trying to manufacture consent.

This is blindingly obvious. Everything this administration do is basic, they have the political strategies of a toddler who is having a tantrum because he's not being allowed to drink bleach. In trump's case, literally.

[–] fennesz12@feddit.dk 15 points 17 hours ago (3 children)

American friends: None of you deserved this. Watching this shit from the sidelines is insane. Somehow you have normalized it. Like a frog in boiling water. Europeans are turning away now. Everything is about to get really fucking ugly.

[–] tonytins@pawb.social 8 points 15 hours ago

The GOP normalized this. They brute forced Trump in as a candidate the second time around. It didn't matter if he joined the primaries or not, he was going to ballet no matter what.

[–] itistime@infosec.pub 3 points 12 hours ago* (last edited 12 hours ago)

Remember that our alliance was born in the blood of our grandfathers. My grandfather died in old age from old shrapnel causing a bleed. He was shot diagonally by a machine gun with bullets hitting leg to shoulder and then grenaded. Other scout with him shot dead through the neck beside him.

Be warned! What is happening here is a pathogen. Those within will need each other.

[–] BanaramaClamcrotch@lemmy.zip 2 points 15 hours ago

It’s pretty awful… I’m taking the steps to get my LTC now. I see the wisdom in the 2nd amendment now but I’m not foolish enough to think I stand a chance against a silent drone that flies above the clouds and can shoot laser guided missiles and is piloted by a guy 50 miles off shore… it’d be used to get the hell out of dodge.

[–] Formfiller@lemmy.world 18 points 21 hours ago (1 children)
[–] EightBitBlood@lemmy.world 6 points 18 hours ago (1 children)

Actually, they don't. If a civil war started, it would likely end with the death of some billionaires and rightfully so. Ideally they want to deport and detain more people before starting a Civil War. If they do it too soon, they won't have the numbers to win. So please let them be stupid enough to do it too soon.

I'm ALL for 8 dead billionaires instead of decades of more governments becoming enshitified by the tech these clowns control.

[–] echodot@feddit.uk 2 points 13 hours ago

It all depends on how much of the military remains loyal to the administration and how much of their infrastructure remains accessible to them.

But based on the militaries willingness to commit war crimes, I'm not holding out much hope in that regard.

[–] RabbitBBQ@lemmy.world 1 points 11 hours ago

These are similar to the tactics used before the full invasion of Ukraine by Russia. Masked and umarked paramilitary performing any destablizing action on an opposing political group. The excuse is just immigration but it's clear the longer term goals are "regime change". People in these areas need to accept that they are already at war. Financial, political and militarily with a large collection of states backing the Federal regime. Many of those states have literally deployed soldiers to other states under the false justification of enforcing immigration laws. Even if they deport every immigrant, they will stay and continue to accelerate these plans. Ukraine has shown how a smaller force can challenge a larger one. It's only a matter of time for those under occupation look to Ukraine and their asymetrical use of drones and other kinds of warfare to begin fighting back. They will not leave voluntarily and once they are out of immigrants to target, they will target other groups. Time to be clear about what is happening and respond accordingly.

[–] aeronmelon@lemmy.world 60 points 1 day ago (21 children)

The Second American Civil War started with the murder of George Floyd.

Open civil war is starting right now.

[–] ameancow@lemmy.world 30 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 19 hours ago) (2 children)

Open civil war is starting right now.

Has this term "civil war" just lost all meaning along with "literally" and "gaslight?"

A civil war is definitionally when two internal armies of a country fight on a large scale.

We do not have that, we do not have an army. Organized protests turning violent are "civil disruption" or "destabilization" at worst. We're about a century off from this turning into a "civil war" because there would need to be opposing armies.

I get that it feels viscerally satisfying to imagine actually firing weapons at these assholes but we're not in that world yet. They have the system, they have the national guard and other armed forces. They have most of the police and most of the justice system.

If we want to change this, we do it with community and organization. In the words of one powerful protestor in Minneapolis: "The democrats will not save you. The republicans will not save you. Nobody is coming. Only your neighbor will save you." We have to get back to community and organization or this will go from isolated protests and unrest to a quiet, locked-down nation of people too afraid to move LONG before it turns into an actual war. Despite what grifters on both sides want you to believe.

I despise these headlines and stories, it's just attention-baiting, and you're all falling for it because you want to see change happen but you don't know how to get there. There are better ways to get there, but they require involvement in some boring shit. I'm sorry and I wish there was a better answer for this.


edit: here, this group has had a hand in electing the most recent wave of progressive and socialist state leaders and mayors around the country. They need volunteers, they need people to help them. It's not as fun as imagining throwing molotovs at feds, but it does a lot more good:

https://www.progressivevictory.win/

Reminder that Mussolini was not overthrown by a ragtag band of plucky rebels, he was handed over to the opposition by his own government and arrested by the king of Italy himself as political pressure grew and the establishment feared the approach of allied nations. Pressure and politics still moves mountains, and even if we had that band of armed rebels, we would need politics to figure out how to live next to the millions of people who didn't vote for a coup or civil war. Lets fix this by starting in our communities and do a Mamdani-Effect across the whole country. It will kick the legs out from this current kleptocracy.

I think being a "century off from civil war" is a little disingenuous. Things are too tumultuous right now to predict what things will look like in 4 years, let alone 100.

I think we're currently in a time of dramatic transition that will go one of two ways: full on opposition from a coalition of states against the current regime, or total capitulation that will likely only be broken by foreign intervention. This of course relies on Trump not backing down or anything that would be reasonably expected to de-escalate the situation, but with him and the current Republican party, I am not willing to give them any benefit of any doubt. I've been around Republicans my entire life and fit into the disguise of "straight white guy" very well as a kid. I know what they say when they think they're amongst like minds. I saw it all the way back in 2000.

I don't know if you would technically define it as civil war, but I believe the systems are in place for such a conflict to occur if the current situation were to "go hot" and states were to decide to mobilize their national guard regiments/reserves and (for lack of a better word) "nationalize" the military assets within their borders. A schism in the military could very well happen at that point with individual units placing their loyalty with either their states or the federal government. The feds may control the country on paper, but thanks to state's rights, much of the daily workings are purely at the digression of the states. The highway system is federally owned, but it's the state DoTs that maintain them and the states that patrol them and allow access for trade and commerce between their borders. As easily as we have checkpoints along the borders with Mexico and Canada, states could fashion along the interstate transit corridors and strangle the flow of goods and people between regions.

I do think the most likely scenario though is total capitulation by the state governments in favor of a justice that will never come from the courts, and I expect to see a growing movement of armed militia groups akin to the Black Panthers and leftists drifting further into militant extremism as trust in any sort of rule of law continues to erode under the continuing circumstances. Weapons are too easy to get or to make here for groups to not emerge. The FBI spends 50% of their time putting down white supremacist militias - or at least they did before 2016.

But I don't believe that we're "a century off" from civil war because I think the government will break long before then and whatever exists here in 100 years won't be the same as the US as we think of it today. It will be a Roman Empire vs Holy Roman Empire kind of thing imo. The same people living in the same dirt, but a government pretending to be a nation that once stood in the same place but has since vanished into the annals of history.

[–] architect@thelemmy.club 3 points 17 hours ago* (last edited 17 hours ago) (1 children)

They already said this is the second American Revolution that will be bloodless if the left allows it to be. They have already declared war in July 2024. For fucks sake! That was the heritage foundation! They are running the fucking government now!

Wake the fuck up already. Quit lecturing and pay the fuck attention!

You’re not wrong about community but you’re wrong to play down the fact they have already declared war on the United States!

[–] ameancow@lemmy.world 1 points 17 hours ago* (last edited 17 hours ago)

This is some internet-brain panic, if you think it's "lecturing" you really need to go outside and spend time with the vast majority of America who are in their own states who have their own agendas and laws in play. The ICE thing is happening in isolated areas with the intention of making people like you say things like this:

"they have already declared war on the United States!"

I'm not saying it's not bad, I'm saying focus for fuck's sake. There is no revolution happening, there is no civil war, there are politics happening and we beat it with counter-politics, no other way. Keep marching and protesting, it's helping, but it's not the solution by itself.

It's blunt and disappointing to people who want to see justice, but it's just the way it works. I promise you, it will be okay... if the US is really in the decline, which it might be, you likely won't be alive by the time states stop sending representatives to DC.

[–] Blackmist@feddit.uk 18 points 21 hours ago

Did the first one ever truly end? You've had people waving the Confederate flag since the North "won".

This is the price of doing half a job.

[–] BaroqueBobby@lemmy.world 36 points 1 day ago (1 children)

I’d argue it started in 2010 with the occupy Wall Street movement. It made oligarchs nervous and start us down the road we are on currently.

load more comments (1 replies)
[–] j_elgato@leminal.space 12 points 23 hours ago (1 children)

Well worth a read. Phases of the American Civil War:

A "2nd" Civil War would just be going from a cold to hot phase of the same conflict, ongoing since the 18th Century

https://davidbrin.blogspot.com/2014/09/phases-of-american-civil-war.html?m=1

[–] rumba@lemmy.zip 11 points 21 hours ago

We never made them take down their idols and they were able to name buildings after their generals. They kept their flag. We incubated them.

Now, that's not to say that stopping all of this would have fixed it, there are still Nazi's in Germany and they were really good at suppressing that bullshit.

[–] dreadbeef@lemmy.dbzer0.com 5 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago)

all i know is, as someone born in the early 90s, I know I never got to experience the 'before'. I think it happened at 9/11

[–] anon_8675309@lemmy.world 6 points 23 hours ago

I disagree. It started with electing Obama. That is what truly broke all the minds of all the racists.

load more comments (15 replies)
[–] PissingIntoTheWind@lemmy.world 3 points 16 hours ago

I am so happy I’ve been training for the last few years physically and with fire arms. Just wish I was able to locate a MRAD sooner.

[–] photonic_sorcerer@lemmy.dbzer0.com 37 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Yeah, why do you think Trump is doing this?

[–] Quill7513@slrpnk.net 31 points 1 day ago (16 children)

the regime offers us two choices:

  • organize and fight in the civil war they're so thirsty for
  • get genocided
load more comments (16 replies)
[–] homes@piefed.world 142 points 1 day ago (1 children)

We know. All of this is very horrible

[–] edible_funk@lemmy.world 32 points 1 day ago (2 children)

And incredibly predictable. I lost friends ten years ago when I said this is exactly what would happen.

[–] Signtist@bookwyr.me 27 points 1 day ago

Yeah, my sister thought I was a doomsayer for predicting it after Jan 6. She doesn't think that anymore now that she's driving her Hispanic friends' kids to school so they don't get kidnapped by the government.

[–] homes@piefed.world 9 points 1 day ago (5 children)

Yeah, and it’s not like we haven’t been through this before…

it can’t happen here!

It can, and it has, and it is.

load more comments (4 replies)
[–] Rentlar@lemmy.ca 98 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

The simulation also projected that the judiciary would be of little help to any state that found itself in the president’s crosshairs.

“We concluded that in a fast-moving emergency of this magnitude, courts would probably be unable or unwilling to intervene in time, leaving state officials without meaningful judicial relief,” Finkelstein explained. “State officials might file emergency motions to enjoin the use of federal troops, but judges would either fail to respond quickly enough or decline to rule on what they view as a ‘political question,’ leaving the conflict unresolved.”

So that panned out as predicted... (pdf of 8th circuit of appeals rubber-stamping the continuation of ICE violence on innocents)

[–] hector@lemmy.today 27 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Especially now as courts were forbidden from nationwide injunctions. That decision was a huge betrayal and the fact that media has not told us that just further proves they are failing in their jobs across the board.

[–] edible_funk@lemmy.world 15 points 1 day ago

Oh fuck I forgot about that. That's going to effectively balkanize the states as the reds pass more and more talibangelical legislation.

[–] AlecSadler@lemmy.dbzer0.com 38 points 1 day ago (2 children)

Whether a Civil War starts now or later...it isn't an if anymore, it's a when and I think we need to accept this and prepare / organize accordingly.

[–] Diurnambule@jlai.lu 10 points 1 day ago (3 children)

Please be after the steam frame is out.

load more comments (1 replies)
[–] Lushed_Lungfish@lemmy.ca 5 points 22 hours ago

Well, if they do end up going that way, I hope they are a bit more thorough with the follow through this time.

[–] m3t00@lemmy.world 3 points 21 hours ago

starts with the premise, 'there will be civil war'. i reject the premise but may have unregistered weapons

load more comments
view more: next ›