this post was submitted on 02 Jul 2025
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[–] Krudler@lemmy.world 6 points 1 hour ago

I'm not a nutritional epidemiologist.

But I've started to get into learning about it in the last few months.

It's really starting to feel like this is a giant bullshit field, and as much as they are trying to find useful results, there's something severely wrong with how they seem to arbitrarily assign causality and correlation.

In a contrived example: "People who live near power lines have more cancer" - "No, poor people live near power lines because they're poor, and poor people have more cancer"

What are the kind of people that eat processed hot dogs? I can promise you they are not millionaires. I can promise you it's not people who can afford filet mignon but decide to have a steamed hot dog. It's not people who work out and take care of their bodies. It's not people who cook.

So when a study is done like this, what answer are you actually getting? probably finding out that the type of people who eat processed meat are more prone to these conditions for a variety of considerations that are just totally left out of the analysis.

[–] HubertManne@piefed.social 3 points 1 hour ago

Im so screwed.

[–] ZILtoid1991@lemmy.world 5 points 4 hours ago (1 children)

So I have to eat raw meat?

[–] vxx@lemmy.world 3 points 1 hour ago* (last edited 1 hour ago)

Mett gang assemble!

[–] chunes@lemmy.world 19 points 15 hours ago (1 children)

7% increase of an already small chance in exchange for 1 hotdog/day doesn't sound that bad to me.

[–] ProdigalFrog@slrpnk.net 15 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

It never seems that bad unless you're in that small percent. Cancer's a damned awful way to die.

[–] kryptonianCodeMonkey@lemmy.world 26 points 11 hours ago* (last edited 11 hours ago) (4 children)

Sure but there are a ton of things, genetic, environmental, dietary, neurochemical, etc. that can contribute to the development of cancer. You can do literally everything right and end up in the exact same place as someone who did all the wrong things because the causes are innumerable and many are literally unavoidable.

Would I regret my choices if I got cancer after I did all the things the studies say would increase my odds? Of course I would. Would I regret my choices if did everything "right" and still got cancer? Of course I would. But that's because being in that position inherently biased you against your past. If I did all the wrong things I would regret that I indulged too much, and if I did all the right things I would regret that I never really indulged at all and enjoyed life fully. Either way you got shafted. You're damned if you do, damned if you don't.

But to me it's better to just live intentionally but without having this constant concern about every single thing I eat, drink, or breath maybe, possibly, eventually contributing to developing cancer. Like I'm not about to start smoking, I rarely drink, I try to eat enough veggies, etc. because those things have much more tangible direct consequences that I'm mindful of, and I'm not about to eat a hotdog every day mostly because I'm a really good cook and that sounds sad as fuck. But the next time I do eat a hotdog, a salami, or a Reuben sandwich, I promise you that no part of my mind is going to be worrying that it will give me cancer. Constant dread is its own form of cancer and life's too short and uncertain to live with that shit 24/7.

[–] JigglySackles@lemmy.world 2 points 1 hour ago

I know these things logically. I wish I could embed them more emphatically so that articles like this don't kick up my anxiety the way they do. Thanks for putting this comment to remind me to come down from the ledge of needless dread and worry.

[–] DancingBear@midwest.social 3 points 4 hours ago

Worrying too much causes cancer

[–] GratefullyGodless@lemmy.world 7 points 11 hours ago
[–] orgrinrt@lemmy.world 4 points 10 hours ago

Words to live by. Well put.

[–] Brkdncr@lemmy.world 103 points 21 hours ago (3 children)

It’s also important to note that the studies included in the analysis were observational, meaning that the data can only show an association between eating habits and disease –– not prove that what people ate caused the disease

right. that's just about any food study! it's the trouble with the nutrition field in general

[–] logicbomb@lemmy.world 26 points 20 hours ago (2 children)

I think that if you know a person who eats a hot dog every day, you will have many other reasons to suspect that they're unhealthy.

[–] JeremyHuntQW12@lemmy.world 1 points 11 hours ago

Eh they're mostly water and sawdust.

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[–] bookmeat@lemmynsfw.com 24 points 21 hours ago

Doing the Lord's work here. Thank you.

[–] hperrin@lemmy.ca 12 points 15 hours ago (3 children)

Considering humans have been eating processed meats like these for centuries, I think I’ll take my chances.

[–] JeremyHuntQW12@lemmy.world 8 points 11 hours ago (1 children)

Nitrites only date back to the middle of the 19th century.

[–] kylco@lemmy.world 1 points 1 hour ago

We've been smoking, salting, and otherwise preserving meat for way longer than that, though. People usually died off from other things before cancer got them, that's all. The relatively high number of cancer deaths is a product of medical intervention getting so good and so widespread that we don't regularly die of sepsis from stepping on a splinter or catching communicable disease anymore.

Absolutely, fuck cancer. But cancer went from being a minor concern to a relatively common one because we conquered so many other avenues of death, systematically and carefully, until we're down to time, neglect and negligence as the three main ways humanity gets itself to the Reaper.

[–] turtlesareneat@discuss.online 16 points 14 hours ago (2 children)

And our rates of intestinal cancer have been rising steadily to the point where now it's a common killer, so we've become afraid of it in our quest to live long, pain-free lives.

Things change as we learn. Why we don't use lead in our pipes anymore. Safe, biocompatible plastic only.

[–] hperrin@lemmy.ca 5 points 11 hours ago (2 children)

If the rates have been rising, wouldn’t that prove it’s not processed meats like these? It would be something that’s being introduced at a steady rate lately, not something that’s been around for centuries.

[–] jnod4@lemmy.ca 4 points 2 hours ago

Nitrites have being slowly "introduced" at a steady rate lately

[–] ieGod@lemmy.zip 5 points 6 hours ago

It is likely many factors at once but it's also important not to assume causation where there is a correlation. Keep in mind also our mechanism of detection is better now than it's ever been.

[–] Pyr_Pressure@lemmy.ca 3 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

Yeah, but I think I'll take 60 years of eating really tasty meats and foods at the risk of slightly increasing my chance of getting cancer and dying at like 65 instead of 85.

[–] joshchandra@midwest.social 2 points 4 hours ago* (last edited 4 hours ago)

But it's also about quality of life; do you want the last decade to be in increasing pain with challenged mobility or not as bad?

[–] madlian@lemmy.cafe 8 points 14 hours ago

Yeah, I try not to make it my entire diet, but… no pepperoni? Why live?

[–] AbidanYre@lemmy.world 123 points 22 hours ago (5 children)

as little as one hot dog a day

That still seems like a lot to me.

hello my name is Guy Who Eats 365 Hot Dogs Per Year, I'm here for chest pain

[–] SnotFlickerman@lemmy.blahaj.zone 51 points 22 hours ago

A hot dog a day keeps the doctors employed.

[–] wildbus8979@sh.itjust.works 41 points 21 hours ago* (last edited 21 hours ago) (1 children)

I suggest you don't visit West Virginia....

Each year, West Virginians consume 481 hot dogs per capita, according to 24/7 Wall St. That means the average West Virginian eats more than one hot dog a day. Illinois locals love their Chicago dog, and they didn't even come close to West Virginia's annual hot dog consumption, hitting 317 per capita.

https://www.tastingtable.com/1887834/west-virginia-most-hot-dogs/

Coincidentally West Virginia has an obesity rate of 41%.

[–] burntbacon@discuss.tchncs.de 6 points 4 hours ago (1 children)

I feel like the west virginia statistic may be heavily biased by what a poor family might feed a child. I remember my parents using hot dogs for 'cheap' meat that could be doctored into meals that my picky toddler ass would eat.

[–] wildbus8979@sh.itjust.works 2 points 4 hours ago

West Virginia is what,the third poorest state in GDP per capita? The average there is poor, so yeah.

[–] Saik0Shinigami@lemmy.saik0.com 28 points 22 hours ago (1 children)

While I'm sure they meant a hotdog sized amount per day... yeah, thats terrible wording. When I eat hot dogs I might eat 2 or 3 at a cook out or something... then not eat hotdogs for like 3 months. They could have evoked the "amount" better. And even then... who eats that much ultra processed meat?

[–] auraithx@piefed.social 23 points 21 hours ago (9 children)

Think that’s about the average.

Deli meats, pizza toppings, bacon, etc.

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[–] salacious_coaster@infosec.pub 75 points 21 hours ago (3 children)

Everyone who has ever eaten a hot dog will die

[–] AmazingAwesomator@lemmy.world 29 points 20 hours ago (2 children)

studies show that 100% of people who drink water will also die.

[–] socsa@piefed.social 18 points 20 hours ago (2 children)

I don't have a problem. I can stop drinking water whenever I want to.

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[–] CarbonIceDragon@pawb.social 45 points 22 hours ago (3 children)

"As little as one hot dog a day", doesn't really strike me as a great example of a "small" amount of processed meat. I'd generally say I ate a lot of something if I had it literally on a daily basis.

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[–] Sterile_Technique@lemmy.world 11 points 17 hours ago (2 children)

Dang, you mean to tell me that animal refuse blended into mush and saturated with salt is bad for us?!

[–] ricecake@sh.itjust.works 19 points 16 hours ago

Eh, "refuse" makes sausage sound worse than it is. In the modern world anyplace with a food inspection system will typically see sausage made from cuts of meat that are perfectly edible but don't meet the grading standards likely to sell on the shelf , or the excess pieces of muscle left over after breaking primal cuts down into smaller pieces. No one wants to buy USDA certified Meh grade steak, or a palm sized wedge of uneven thickness. So they get sent off to make hamburger, sausage, and various canned or commercial meat products that don't need to be pretty.

Processed meat also includes much more benign seeming foods, like sandwich meat, ground meats, and bacon. We've known for a while that eating meat, and more so red meat, is a risk for colon problems. Red meats are more likely to be processed and therefore cheap and salty.

The new thing the study adds is that there isn't a lower bound. For a lot of things there's a quantity that isn't associated with any issues, and it's only when you go above that limit that the risk goes up.

[–] hperrin@lemmy.ca 12 points 15 hours ago

Refuse? Why do you think processed meat is animal refuse?

[–] CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world 5 points 15 hours ago

...and what do they say about just plain meat, I wonder? 🤔

[–] Atelopus-zeteki@fedia.io 14 points 20 hours ago (1 children)

Let's begin by reading the article, and noting this key sentence: "“Habitual consumption of even small amounts of processed meat, sugary drinks, and trans fatty acids is linked to increased risk of developing type 2 diabetes, ischemic heart disease and colorectal cancer,” said lead author of the study, Dr. Demewoz Haile, a research scientist at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation in Seattle. "

Health effects associated with consumption of processed meat, sugar-sweetened beverages and trans fatty acids: a Burden of Proof study https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-025-03775-8#author-information

Abstract

Previous research suggests detrimental health effects associated with consuming processed foods, including processed meats, sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) and trans fatty acids (TFAs). However, systematic characterization of the dose–response relationships between these foods and health outcomes is limited. Here, using Burden of Proof meta-regression methods, we evaluated the associations between processed meat, SSBs and TFAs and three chronic diseases: type 2 diabetes, ischemic heart disease (IHD) and colorectal cancer. We conservatively estimated that—relative to zero consumption—consuming processed meat (at 0.6–57 g d−1) was associated with at least an 11% average increase in type 2 diabetes risk and a 7% (at 0.78–55 g d−1) increase in colorectal cancer risk. SSB intake (at 1.5–390 g d−1) was associated with at least an 8% average increase in type 2 diabetes risk and a 2% (at 0–365 g d−1) increase in IHD risk. TFA consumption (at 0.25–2.56% of daily energy intake) was associated with at least a 3% average increase in IHD risk. These associations each received two-star ratings reflecting weak relationships or inconsistent input evidence, highlighting both the need for further research and—given the high burden of these chronic diseases—the merit of continuing to recommend limiting consumption of these foods.

Then I hit a paywall. Anyone got a ladder?

[–] joshchandra@midwest.social 1 points 4 hours ago

One of us is gonna have to email one of the authors to ask for a copy. I've read that they want the public to read their work and that the paywall is just like a default setting.

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