this post was submitted on 27 Apr 2025
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From what I'm reading, the troubles should start to pick up now; harbors being quieter, truckers not having work, ... Are any shortages noticeable yet?

ETA:

Source: https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/trump-is-a-virus

Businesses have been filling their inventories. That's ending now. Economic pain in terms of job losses should accelerate now. It will still take up to a few weeks before inventories run empty, and the full impact hits consumers. Even a full reversal of Trumpism couldn't prevent knock-on effects that last into next year.

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[–] [email protected] 17 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Remember when COVID supply-chain difficulties made prices shoot up? And several years after that situation peaked prices STILL haven't gone back to normal? This gonna be like that except COMPLETELY unnecessary, brought to you entirely by MAGA. Remember it when the midterm elections come up in 2 years. That won't be difficult cuz it will still be going on and will be even worse.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

Well some products will go down at first, the ones they can't sell to other countries any more the supply will skyrocket until they cut production to reduce their losses. So perishable things like certain food, will possibly decrease for a season, then will go up higher/possibly "sky rocker" as when you produce less your profits are lower, so they will have to mark them up / some people will just stop farming. The possibility of the bees dying out seems more worrisome than the tarrifs long term though for many foods.

[–] [email protected] 37 points 3 days ago (1 children)

Cargo container bookings are down 60%. 60%! Thats an incredible drop, and it really hasn't even started yet.

I'm ready for a "Hot Tariff Summer."

I've been on a no-purchase kick for a while now, even before HitlerPig was elected. We have become such a culture of consumerism that it had started to disgust me. I've embraced the "re-use, repair, re-sell, recycle" philosophy. If i need something, i try to buy it used.

I'm a guitarist, so I buy used guitars when i get a good deal, clean them up, fix them, and re-sell them at a small profit. It puts a beautiful instrument back into service, allows a poor or new musician an opportunity to have an inexpensive but quality instrument, and its music makes the world a slightly more beautiful place.

I even went on a much-needed diet (down 80 pounds so far, and still going), and decreasing my consumption, and spending less money with evil corporations, is a primary motivation.

So let the shelves be empty of cheap Chinese-made consumer goods, i don't need them, despite how much advertising and marketing tells me i do.

The silver lining is that if tariffs become a longterm thing, people will be forced to come around to my way of thinking, and when the tariffs finally end, corporations may be surprised to find that nobody needs their shiny crap any more.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 3 days ago (1 children)

clean them up, fix them,

As someone else that does "clean up" and "fix them" for other non-instrument items, are you concerned about your supply/cost of replacement parts and supplies? Most of mine come from China.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (2 children)

Somewhat, mostly strings. Most of the rest is just adjustments, using tools I already have. I still have a fair stock of strings, but I was thinking of buying a bunch more to hold me over for a while.

Cleaning is also a big part, but that's easy.

I suppose if it gets bad, and I need to buy tuners and bridges, etc., I can buy a few junk guitars, and cannibalize them for parts.

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[–] [email protected] 69 points 3 days ago (2 children)

Most aren't even aware that this is coming.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 2 days ago

A large portion of the rest are in denial. So many people can only learn through the lens of their own experience

[–] [email protected] 19 points 3 days ago (3 children)

I can't wait to watch all the Trump-suckers loose their shit when they find out it's Trump's fault. If they can actually comprehend it as true, that is.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago

They lost touch with reality a long time ago. They will blame Democrats, or Canada, or Aliens.

[–] [email protected] 26 points 3 days ago (3 children)

They'll just say it's Biden's fault...

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[–] [email protected] 21 points 3 days ago

narrator: they did not

[–] [email protected] 37 points 3 days ago (5 children)

I'm far less worried about the imminent supply shock to the economy and far more worried about the long term damage to things like the FDA. We've decided we're going to try to go from ~10% vegetarian to closer to 80% or 100% because I simply don't trust that thing like meat and milk can stay safe to consume. I do have a solid amount of food in my house, and if shelves start emptying I think I'll be okay for a bit, but that'll pass. I can't really leave this country, so I need to be planning for longer term problems too.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 3 days ago

It's quite crazy to hear that the US is about to force UK and EU to buy more chlorinated chicken, and then hear that US will stop salmonela testing while negotiating this.

[–] [email protected] 17 points 3 days ago (1 children)

I have this fear that we won't even be able to trust fruits and vegetables. The most common food contaminations in the news always seem to be unwashed lettuce and such, which makes sense because of fertilizers.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 3 days ago

I’ve been preparing for some kind of problem with produce for a few years, I just had a gut feeling so I built a vegetable garden 3 years ago. Also have been planting fruit trees everywhere.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 3 days ago

We've decided we're going to try to go from ~10% vegetarian to closer to 80% or 100% because I simply don't trust that thing like meat and milk can stay safe to consume.

Farmers' markets (or direct from a local farm/butcher) are probably your best bet for what meat you do buy, if you don't go full veg

[–] [email protected] 12 points 3 days ago

While the nation was functioning, meat and dairy would have been regulated by the USDA, not the FDA.

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 2 days ago (2 children)

I think shortages will be short-lived as companies and retailers just have to suck it up and pay more. People won't be able to buy as much stuff, so layoffs and a recession or depression are likely, but there's not much I can think of doing to prepare for that.

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[–] [email protected] 12 points 3 days ago

Curling up into the fetal position and crying in between protests.

[–] [email protected] 78 points 4 days ago (5 children)

Regardless of whether you think something catastrophic will happen tomorrow, next month, next year or never, it's a smart plan to have an emergency stash of shelf-stable food and drinking water to last 72 hours per person in your household for whatever natural or manmade disaster.

[–] [email protected] 37 points 4 days ago (3 children)

My grandma's spirit would haunt me from the dead if it found out I only had 72 hours of food in my home.

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 4 days ago (2 children)

I have read testimonies from other people who have gone through economic/political instability and hardship. What i got out of it is that prepping will help for a week to a month maybe. But after that preppers just feel dumb after that as all that work didn't mean much long term.

The only thing that universally matters is having community ties. Unfortunately.... USA aren't very community friendly or even have the opportunity to create strong local bonds. As all community events are during work hours so only retired people part take in those.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 3 days ago

During covid, having like 2 months' worth of food was enough for me. I was able to avoid the chaos at the grocery stores, and by May of 2020, instacart had cleared up enough that I could get food delivered to me.

This is different, obviously, but having 2 months of food to avoid the initial chaos and supply shocks of a disaster is still valuable

[–] [email protected] 7 points 3 days ago

Boomers ventured out on route 66 and never returned. One generation destroyed community for cheap large screen TVs.

[–] [email protected] 61 points 4 days ago (21 children)

I got a passport, and am wrapping up a degree in nursing.

It's not necessarily my intention to jump ship as soon as I graduate, but knowing that it's an option will be a great comfort.

Other than that, I stopped eating eggs.

[–] [email protected] 15 points 4 days ago

Come to Canada, we want and need nurses!

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[–] [email protected] 40 points 4 days ago (3 children)
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[–] [email protected] 9 points 3 days ago (9 children)

OP’s data shows the U.S. is stocking up tremendously in April, and then maintaining year-on-year patterns after that with a slight downturn that doesn’t even compensate for April’s glut.

I haven’t seen this data before but it shows the opposite of the shortage I was expecting.

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[–] [email protected] 4 points 2 days ago

Not yet here. Maybe a few more weeks?

[–] [email protected] 25 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Know your communities, people. That's the prep you need.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 3 days ago

"Where two eat, three can eat also."

[–] [email protected] 39 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (4 children)

I feel awful for the genuinely good people living there. But to all of the people that either voted for this or sat back and did nothing to prevent this: I genuinely, sincerely, from the bottom of my heart hope that you fucking suffer like never before.

[–] [email protected] 29 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Don’t worry the entire world will suffer not just the people you don’t like in the US.

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[–] [email protected] 22 points 4 days ago (1 children)

My company layed off the newest hire, and bought $50k of materials we need for R&D for the next year and a half. Im in the process of buying a duplex instead of a single family as a hedge, so my cost of living will be low enough to survive on my wife's part time salary if we can keep a renter. I will be planting food producing trees and bushes, and building garden boxes after close, and learning canning.

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[–] [email protected] 33 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (4 children)

Not shortages yet, but steep price increases.

I have dropped some items from my normal grocery list because of ramping prices. Eggs and avocados were first, but it's expanding to other things now.

I have some hobby projects I want to do that would require buying new hardware; those prices are going up so that is on hold until further notice.

I work from home 95% of the time and do much of my evening/weekend socializing and hobbies within walking distance of my home, so I could drop my driving and fuel consumption very low.

I bought a $30 renter-friendly bidet kit so I am way less exposed to another toilet paper shortage.

I was going to buy a new car, probably a RAV4 internal hybrid, within the next 1-2 years but that is completely up in the air now. My current car is functional, just old, and I would continue driving it rather than swap to an inferior and dangerous American car like Tesla.

Buy less, budget conscientiously, wait to see what happens. Exactly what Trump doesn't want but which anyone with half a brain cell knew would happen.

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[–] [email protected] 33 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (1 children)

at the moment not enough to cause panic buying or draw significant media attention. Select goods have begun to creep up in price, and freight industry reports show projected decreases in demand, but not really seeing it yet.

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[–] [email protected] 14 points 3 days ago (1 children)

People don’t really know what to do, except save money, cut back on disposable spending, and watch carefully. Maybe buy some big things early like a laptop or EV now rather than wait for the shock. The big problems are a few weeks to months away.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 days ago

There are many more things people can do, and many are. The problem is, going 100% prepper is a failing strategy, too. So how far to go? It is a difficult situation.

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