I know the number today is just one number among many, but hasn't tank numbers gone down slowly and steadily?
this post was submitted on 10 Apr 2025
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Yes they have.
Tank numbers are way lower now than about a year ago, where 15-20 was the norm for months.
Russia has simply run out of the enormous stock they had from the Soviet era. The remaining tanks are few and way harder to make operational. And allegedly they can only make 50 new ones per month now. In part because they can't make enough artillery/tank barrels.
They compensate somewhat by importing North Korean shit, and cannibalizing every piece of old equipment they can.
https://cpd.gov.ua/en/results/rf-en/russia-will-have-a-tank-shortage-in-2025-the-washington-post/
If these daily numbers are close to correct, Ukraine's counterartillery capability has increased dramatically in the last weeks. Even with Russias large material reserves those losses are bound to be at unsustainable levels.
AFAIK these numbers of double the average have been pretty common for the past half year.
Russian losses for the past year are bigger than for the first 2 years combined!
Regarding artillery Russia is running low on old Soviet stock, so they have used that for a while now, probably this old artillery is shorter range, making it easier for Ukraine to strike them.
This being unsustainable has been a discussion point for years at this point and yet they keep on fighting while it feels like western society is slowly collapsing.
@Geth @Lorindol Yeah sorta. They have turned to using donkeys and quads and meat wave after meat wave. So no we are well past the point in which it was sustainable to be a professional Russian army.
As for the collapse of Western civilization you are half correct. Europa still stands, Amerika has turned into another version of the Russian oligarchic system.
Most predictions on running out have always pointed to late 2025. It is still early 2025. Some things like tanks they ran out of last year, but most soviet stocks are deeper and so they are not yet out, and still others will last several more years at current rates.
Of course running out is not a hard line, they start with the easy things - change the oil and put it into the field. Then they move to things that need more and more effort to restore, often taking parts from something that is in even worse shape overall - then when they get to that it is even more difficult. They are also building more in their factories, so they will never run out completely, it just takes longer since their assembly lines can only move so fast - and are often limited by parts they need to import.
To be fair so has the downfall of western society.
More Archers?
As always, good numbers! Drain the enemy and keep the good work going. Slava ukraini!