this post was submitted on 13 Nov 2025
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I appreciate this response, and agree with much of it.
There's some grey-area stuff:
True, but in theory, a good chunk of people would be taking vaccines - and so while there's a selective pressure (mostly on those willing to undergo it), overall diversity would be maintained.
and, as an aside -- alas, simplified is the domain and utility of science. It's how we grasp anything natural at all.
..there are some tidbits I do disagree with, though. mainly:
While that would be a bad thing, it's not like there's selective pressure against having the HLA alleles that would be good for a future disease - more, just that there's selective pressure against not having one for the current disease. Let's say that the theoretical future-disease-preventing HLA alleles are randomly distributed, and that the incidence of death from a current disease roughly matches the incidence of death from car accidents, then the car accidents have just as much of a deleterious affect on the future as the current disease does. That's like the Christian argument "The baby you're about to abort could be the one that comes up with the cure for cancer." ..sure, but it could by Hitler 3.0, too.
The very multifaceted complexity that goes into the entire process of how animals (including us) handle disease has a couple knowable facets:
It works, generally speaking, over the long term, and often enough in the short term
we have added new means of gaining immunity, but with that we also reduce selective pressures on the species, not just for disease-specific immune responses, but any other traits (including but not limited to rapidity of immune response) that impact the capacity to handle and survive a disease
it is clearly selection pressure that has led to effective immune systems in the first place
but even aside from that, the following are my opinions, and though I'm open to the possibility, I doubt they'll change today:
edit: btw, thanks for the genuine civil discourse, I enjoy it.