this post was submitted on 07 Apr 2025
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The Liberal Party led by Mark Carney continues to gain momentum in week two of election campaigning (46%, +2), opening a double-digit lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives (34%, -4 pts) among decided voters.

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[–] [email protected] 21 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago) (3 children)

If it's a two horse race in your riding between CPC and NDP or Green, that would make sense. If the CPC is polling very low in your riding, it would also make sense. If however it's a two horse race between CPC and LPC, then you may be helping PP to another seat.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 6 days ago (1 children)

Then again, voting liberal may make the status quo party feel they have that much more of a "mandate".

[–] [email protected] 4 points 6 days ago

For sure. But we can't finely target the vote in FPTP. So all depends on what makes sense for a particular riding. But in any case as they begin to govern, the Liberals favourability is going to fall.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 6 days ago (1 children)

NDG is very liberal. There's zero chance for CPC to win it's 68% vs 18% and the liberal candidate in NDG is anti palestine

[–] [email protected] 5 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago)

Go NDP or Green then. I'd probably go NDP in such situation.

My riding is solid CPC v LPC race with NDP clocking at single digits so I'm gonna have to go LPC.