whyrat

joined 3 years ago
[–] whyrat@lemmy.world 8 points 18 hours ago

This is America is a true work of art.

 

Another month of poor job growth; headline number is +29,000. But again significant downward revisions to prior months:

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for July was revised down by 31,000, from +21,000 to -10,000, and the change for August was revised down by 29,000, from +162,000 to +133,000. With these revisions, employment in July and August combined is 60,000 lower than previously reported.

[–] whyrat@lemmy.world 6 points 1 week ago

Valheim went 1.0 release, so started up a new server to play it through through the final biome.

[–] whyrat@lemmy.world 2 points 1 week ago

I don't see how anyone could read that not in his voice.

[–] whyrat@lemmy.world 0 points 1 week ago (1 children)

fine not to exceed $10,000 or imprisonment not to exceed five years, or both.

  1. It specifies "or both".

  2. Those are 1920 dollars.

I'm a fan of fines proportional to income, because otherwise you're right... Punishable by fine means legal only for the rich.

[–] whyrat@lemmy.world 3 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Fair enough, it does happen. Relevant background: https://nationalmortgageprofessional.com/news/investors-hold-most-empty-houses

The states with the highest vacancy rates in investor-owned properties were:

Indiana (7.2%); 
Illinois (6.1%); 
Oklahoma (5.9%); 
Alabama (5.9%); and 
Ohio (5.8%). 

States with the lowest vacancy rates were:

New Hampshire (0.9%); 
Vermont (1%); 
Idaho (1.2%); 
Utah (1.5%); and 
North Dakota (1.5%).

I'd argue my sentiment remains, investors for the most part rent out property, they don't typically hold it vacant. When they do it's more likely vacancies are transitory (trying to find a renter) than long term and intentionally kept vacant.

[–] whyrat@lemmy.world 5 points 2 weeks ago (4 children)

Why would PE buy them if not to rent & be subject to the same renter's bill of rights? Holding a vacant house isn't a good 😊 investment, they have upkeep costs, are subject to property taxes, and depreciate faster when unoccupied.

[–] whyrat@lemmy.world 4 points 2 weeks ago

I used to keep up with distance running and ultimate frisbee, but after having kids didn't have time to stay competitive. I'll still run solo, or play an occasional pickup game, but not doing it regularly makes me a little depressed that my skill level and physical condition aren't what they once were. 😓

[–] whyrat@lemmy.world 2 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

I'm skeptical and (perpetually) short on time; but I'll queue it up and give it an initial opportunity to make a case.

My stance going in is that Russia's failed invasion and the US debacle in Iran make future aggression less likely (at least for the short term). I'd argue it's similar to how the US "war" in Vietnam diminished the US appetite for war ~50 wars ago.

War is costly to direct participants; only Israel seems to have a continued appetite for it among developed nations... Putin's once solid grip on power is now showing significant cracks, Trump & republicans currently look to lose some share of electoral power due to their policies (which involves more than just Iran, but that seems to be the single biggest polling impact).

I'll certainly acknowledge the tensions in the middle east could easily inflate to become a larger conflict. Hopefully the wiser people prevail over the "strongmen" who somehow keep getting elected.

[–] whyrat@lemmy.world 10 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

This breaks down pretty quickly under scrutiny.

Germany steps up military, probably.

Russia claims it's 1941 again: not really... 1940s Germany was already invading, and it was more than Russia involved in that. There's currently amicable relations between them and the UK, France, Spain, Italy, etc...

Nobody is talking.

? There's so much cross nation communication. Plus there's official venues to address issues in the EU, UN, etc...

Nobody is trading.

Not reflected in the actual trade numbers... Except for the US where there are nonsense tariffs changing at the whim of an orange clown. Overall international trade is continuing fine and mostly recovered from the COVID dip: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/growth-of-global-trade?time=2000..latest

[–] whyrat@lemmy.world 11 points 3 weeks ago

For those less familiar with Economic terminology: Stagflation

[–] whyrat@lemmy.world 6 points 3 weeks ago

The access charge would probably be less than the current cost.

Or a better way to phrase it: more oil tankers would traverse the strait if the price was known and stable, compared to the risk of attack and unknown outcome they currently face.

[–] whyrat@lemmy.world 1 points 3 weeks ago

Already baked in to market prices... It will be a serious negative shock not to increase them at the next Fed meeting.

 

Pretty brutal numbers; and not just food & energy: core at 4.7% for the 12 months!

The Producer Price Index for final demand moved up 0.4 percent in August, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.1 percent in July and decreased 0.1 percent in June. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand increased 5.4 percent for the 12 months ended in August.

In August, the index for final demand goods advanced 1.1 percent, and prices for final demand services increased 0.1 percent.

The index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services rose 0.3 percent in August after moving up 0.4 percent in July. For the 12 months ended in August, prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services advanced 4.7 percent.

 

Negative headline number; and big negative revisions to prior months as well:

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for May was revised down by 66,000, from +129,000 to +63,000, and the change for June was revised down by 37,000, from +57,000 to +20,000. With these revisions, employment in May and June combined is 103,000 lower than previously reported.

 

Also note the downward revisions (which have become fairly commonplace over the past year):

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for December was revised down by 65,000, from +48,000 to -17,000, and the change for January was revised down by 4,000, from +130,000 to +126,000. With these revisions, employment in December and January combined is 69,000 lower than previously reported. (Monthly revisions result from additional reports received from businesses and government agencies since the last published estimates and from the recalculation of seasonal factors.)

 

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.5 percent in January, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices advanced 0.4 percent in December 2025 and 0.2 percent in November. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand rose 2.9 percent for the 12 months ended January 2026.

 
 

America's Test Kitchen has some good videos on cooking technique. This one covers food (mostly meat) sticking to metal pans, how to prevent it and some cases when there are advantages to allow sticking.

 
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