TwinkleToes

joined 7 months ago
[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 day ago

Flapping your arms and gums about WHAT he's done is less important to think about than WHY has he done this. It's ridiculous and irrational on it's face.

But - it makes perfect sense if you start from a place that this is a colossal distraction. But why? Well - ultimately, if you accept that Trump works for Putin, then consider that the Russians are unable to defeat Ukraine right now on the battlefield, given the support that they continue to get from Europe. Putin and Trump have collaborated to remove US support - mission accomplished. But - they don't have direct leverage over Europe to try and erode European support for ukraine as well. So - if you're starting from a place that you wanted Russia to win and that's the ONLY thing you care about...what would you do? How can you erode Europe's ability to support Ukraine?

Initiate a devastating global recession to destroy governments' ability to focus on supporting Ukraine, and hope that they crawl back to supporting their own economies.

That's the answer. This is ALL happening

a) because Russia is starting to lose, and will lose very bigly and very quickly...soon b) Trump is 80 years old, and his window of being able to help Putin is closing with every Big Mac and Diet Coke he eats c) Putin himself is in advanced age and probably declining health d) Russia's equipment reserves are passing replacement rate levels, which leads to a MAJOR degradation in their offensive potential. Things don't get a little worse - they're getting EXPONENTIALLY worse e) Since they can't directly stop European aid, they are trying to do it indirectly by initiating a global recession and trade war.

Just opinions, you're under no obligation to agree. But - what else makes sense? The only other thing I could reasonably accept if it wasn't 100% that Trump works for Russia, is that somehow along the tarriffs chain, that he is skimming a percentage, like a classic Mafia casino scam. He may well be doing that as well as aiding Russia. But he's certainly not doing all of this - and excluding Russia, Belarus and Hungary from tarriffs - for no particular reason at all. The reasons are fairly damn obvious.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 3 days ago

This story comes out every year, when russia announces their normal conscription process. These enlistees a) go to basic training - which for Russians is totally insufficient to make a difference on the ukrainian battlefield, b) can't and haven't been used for offensive operations, c) Mostly cycle back to civilian life when they're done. This isn't special, it isn't news, and if he were stupid enough to rush these guys from their jobs as delivery drivers, baristas, IT support and tire shop technicians into the battlefields, the entirety of them would be chewed up in about 3 months. This isn't a story. This is their normal conscription process.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

As is usually the case, Trump has badly overplayed his hand without actually having even a fraction of the leverage he assumes he does. The US is rapidly making themselves utterly irrelevant to the process. Ukraine seems to clearly understand that the only way for a lasting peace is to erode Russia's warmaking capability permanently. They can continue to fight at this intensity with drones and small territorial exchanges for a long, long time yet, even if the US fully withdraws all support.

Trump going further and actively aiding Russia is a) insane b) not implausible and c) would result in American deaths that he would then have to explain a justification for, in a war that is allegedly none of america's business anyways. No serious minded person expects Russia to abide by ANY peace deal in the long term, so from Ukraine's perspective, it makes much more sense to keep fighting. It's fight for your lasting freedom, or wait for another round of attempted enslavement.

The frantic speed run to try and strong arm Ukraine into an unjust peace is failing. It's very telling that they're turning the crazy up to 11, because he is nearly 80 years old, morbidly obese, lives on KFC and insane hatred. And if Russia could do any more than they currently are, they would have already done it. It's a ridiculous bluff, Ukraine and their European backers have called it. For Europe, the degree of danger is not abstract or a partisan issue to score cheap political points off of. They're going to give Ukraine what it needs to continue bleeding out Russia, at least long enough for Putin, Trump or both to die off.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 month ago

Why would anyone agree to a complete capitulation, and paying reparations, and giving up land and people under the current conditions? Oh, and the US removes it's forces from the Baltics at the same time, Ukraine gets absolutely nothing except for a temporary ceasefire with no security guarantees.

I mean - it's just so completely obvious that Trump fully and completely works for the Russians. Full stop. They are coming with the exact same absurd Russian maximalist goals, zero concessions. But - what leverage do they have to tell Ukraine to accept it and that's that? Fine - pull your support, America. Ukraine still has cards to play. Agreeing to your terms is literally signing your own death warrant, now or later.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 month ago

He works for the Russians, always has, these jackoff tarriffs which only seem to be against allies is meant to disrupt the focus on Ukraine's backers and force an immediate settlement where Ukraine only makes any concessions. It's clear as goddamned mid-day sun that everything he's doing is to unsettle NATO and get a win for Russia.

That proves several things, including his overall allegiances. It also suggests that Russia is truly desperate, doesn't think they will get more Ukrainian land than they currently have, and want to freeze the conflict to call it a victory. The current strategy of thrusting small infantry squads anywhere you can fit them isn't exactly a solid occupation strategy. Ukraine can kill many more of them, eventually, with drones, snipers, artillery, and counter-assaults. There isn't a baked in guarantee that they're allowed to keep all the stolen land they're sitting on right now. Ukraine will kill most of them - eventually - and he'll be left with nothing but a bleeding wound as his army tries to do the harder piece of warfare - pacification.

It's in Ukraine's long term interests to keep killing the Russian army as long as it can sustain it's own losses.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

This crazy old poopy pants manchild is serious in that he wants to blackmail people into giving him something for nothing. Thankfully, he's so fucking stupid, and has created a cesspool of asskissers around him who are incentivized to suck up rather than actually DO anything.

He talks, says a lot of crazy shit, then backs down, having done damage and not actually gotten anything. Like being in a shortbus with a hormonal chimp with a chainsaw. We're all just going to have to wait until his inevitable toilet stroke, and then watch the whole thing collapse.

 

Well, Blues. It's war. And as always, this guarantees we will retaliate against you as soon as possible. But - it also sets in motion roster juggles. Getting out of the Nurse contract becomes even more important. Losing Broberg and Holloway for only a 2nd and 3rd respectably is no bueno. Game on, Armstrong. Prepare for retaliation.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 7 months ago

Of course. How do you investigate harassment and identify site-killing lunatics without keyword searching.

It’s all stored and anyone who needs to see stuff their site hosts can get it. Plus - you’d be surprised how much criminal activity people are willing to discuss with strangers.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago

That there is already a good self deprecating joke. Don’t sell yourself short. Unless you ARE short, then may I recommend entering the priesthood

[–] [email protected] 58 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (7 children)

I worked for one of the major dating sites about a decade ago. Let me assure you, that people act like debased hyperhormonal chimps in heat when they think nobody is watching. Oh, and by the way - someone is ALWAYS watching.

If you're a male who has some combination of a steady job, are remotely reliable, not drug or booze addled, have most of your teeth and hair and can tell a joke and hold a conversation - you're golden. It is UTTERLY unfair to ladies, but just being able to hold that low bar will get you much farther than you might think.

It's a strange dilemma - for a dating site to suceed, you have to protect the women. From the guys' perspective, it's shouting into the void, on the off chance you might EVER stand out enough to get a reply a week. From a woman's perspective, it's like the ozone layer protecting a constant bombardment of radiation and lethal rocks from space. A cornucopia of typically BAD CHOICES that manage to slip through the various cracks that the sites/apps put up to protect them.

But - the women ARE the site. If you have the WOMEN, then the men would follow you buck naked through the flaming tar pits of hell to get to them. But - the average male is a monosyllabic goblin with skeletons in his closet and bad intentions much more often than you'd think. It's why Bumble tried female-only communication initiation. The women on dating sites have an invisible shield tbey don't even realize exists around them to prevent bots, unsolicited dick pics, one word messages, repeat-offense harassers, and wide-net-casting quagmires who have more deeply held mysoginstic beliefs than they do good pick up lines.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 7 months ago

".... and THAT'S why it's totally justified for me to have murdered thousands of my own citizens, rather than behave like a democratically elected leader".

[–] [email protected] 3 points 7 months ago

Trump has become an unfunny version of Eric Cartman come to life. A petulant, shameless, poopy pantsed little boy who could never fill the inky black waste void in where was supposed to have a heart, brain and soul with enough of anything.

This was a branding exercise that truly got out of hand, and he was a simple fluke. But of course, that’s impossible for him to accept.

It gets really, really interesting now that he can’t be of any use to anyone and all the stupid plans and bad loans come due at the end. Jail would be the best outcome.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 7 months ago

Capital punishment, by other means

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