At this point, why would they ever trust the US to abide by any treaty agreement? We have created the conditions in which their safest course is to race to nuclear capability as fast as possible. As far as I can tell, the only reason they might want to negotiate some kind of agreement with the US, is as a stalling tactic to facilitate their nuclear program.
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We have created the conditions in which their safest course is to race to nuclear capability as fast as possible.
Having nuclear weapons isn't a counter to a nuclear-armed country. Having second strike capability is. I don't think that Iran is going to get second strike capability vis-a-vis the US anytime soon.
You don't need to have full mutually assured destruction for nukes to operate as a deterrent. It's a matter of degrees, rather than some sort of all-or-nothing safety.
Safety is relative. A nuclear capacity doesn’t make them safe, especially in a world dominated by an unhinged US. But, it does make them vastly safer than not having it by raising the potential cost of any proactive strike against them. Direct military implications for the US are minimal. But that’s not the case for US clients and US interests in the region.
What US policy has demonstrated is that US belligerence is a constant, regardless of whether Iran enters treaties or not, and regardless of whether Iran pursues nukes or not. Under those conditions, having nukes is pragmatic.
I'm sure they're real interested in negotiating with Trump after what happened to Soleimani.
Also for what he did to the last deal we had with them.
Or even after what he's actively doing to his allies Canada and Mexico, being signatories with trump himself of the USMCA.
If he violates his own deals signed with allies, why would Iran think there's a snowballs chance in hell that trump would honor an agreement with an adversary?
Yeah.... Because Trump has such a good track record of maintaining nuclear deals. This is just a pretense to allow Israel to invade Iran once they've finished their genocide in Gaza.
The whole reason Israel felt comfortable enough to commit to purging Gaza is because Trump ended the original nuclear deal to begin with. Now that Benni feels things are wrapping up in Palestine, he's going to need another war to keep Israel's bloodlust going and keep his coalition together.
International law no longer holds any water. Every world power seems hell bent on making geopolitics revolve around hard power. The US backs out of treaties every four years, the Russians haven't ever made a deal they didn't pretend never happened, and China is out there pretending a vast swath of the Pacific is there's because of reasons...
In a time where a level of global cooperation is needed greater than ever before to prevent climate change, we as a species are shitting the bed harder than ever before.
Yup. Ukraine signed a deal and gave up a their nukes (3rd largest) on condition the other signatories (US, UK and Russia) would leave them alone. We see how that's worked out for Ukraine.
Yea if trump calls your country you might as well hang up