roko's basilisk is a type of infohazard known as 'really dumb if you think about it'
also I have lost the game (which is a type of infohazard known as 'really funny')
this post was submitted on 24 Jun 2024
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Thanks! I just won the game!
Winning wasn't in the set of rules I received, can you explain?
Make your own rules.
Oh damn, I just lost the game too, and now I'm thinking about the game as if it were a virus - like, I reckon we really managed to flatten the curve for a few years there, but it continues to circulate so we haven't been able to eradicate it
I lost too. I agree, it's been going around at least in the threadiverse. I've seen it at least 3 times in a couple months.
Pascal's Wager always seemed really flawed to me even through a purely Christian perspective. You're saying that god is so oblivious (even though he's supposed to be omniscient) that he'll be fooled by you claiming to believe just because you're hedging your bets? The actual reason it's dumb is that it's not a binary choice since there are thousands of ways people claim you can be saved in various religions.
You’re saying that god is so oblivious (even though he’s supposed to be omniscient) that he’ll be fooled by you claiming to believe just because you’re hedging your bets?
More that repetition reinforces an idea. By commiting to the bit and accepting a God at face value, you reduce your psychological defenses when the priest or prophet comes around with the next ask.
So you admit you believe in God? Then you won't mind putting a few coins in the collection plate to prove it.
Oh, you've already donated? Surely you'd be comfortable making a confession.
My son, you've got so many sins! Surely you'd like to join our prayer group to get yourself right with the God we all agree exists.
Can't have prayer without works! Time to do some penance.
it has been said before and i'll say it again: Pascal's wager for tech bros
but not as easily dismissable
Roko's Basilisk hinges on the concept of acausal trade. Future events can cause past events if both actors can sufficiently predict each other. The obvious problem with acausal trade is that if you're the actor B in the future, then you can't change what the actor A in the past did. It's A's prediction of B's action that causes A's action, not B's action. Meaning the AI in the future gains literally nothing by exacting petty vengeance on people who didn't support their creation.
Another thing Roko's Basilisk hinges on is that a copy of you is also you. If you don't believe that, then torturing a simulated copy of you doesn't need to bother you any more than if the AI tortured a random innocent person. On a related note, the AI may not be able to create a perfect copy of you. If you die before the AI is created, and nobody scans your brain (Brain scanners currently don't exist), then the AI will only have the surviving historical records of you to reconstruct you. It may be able to create an imitation so convincing that any historian, and even people who knew you personally will say it's you, but it won't be you. Some pieces of you will be forever lost.
Then a singularity type superintelligence might not be possible. The idea behind the singularity is that once we build an AI, the AI will then improve itself, and then they will be able to improve itself faster, thus leading to an exponential growth in intelligence. The problem is that it basically assumes that the marginal effort of getting more intelligent grows slower than linearly. If the marginal difficulty grows as fast as the intelligence of the AI, then the AI will become more and more intelligent, but we won't see an exponential increase in intelligence. My guess would be that we'd see a logistical growth of intelligence. As in, the AI will first become more and more intelligent, and then the growth will slow and eventually stagnate.
I was raised Mormon (LDS) and there are parallels; basically they believe Mormonism is the one true and complete denomination of Christianity and once you learn this, you need to spread that truth (mandatory 2 year missions for men, and a STRONG culture of missionary work through life), also, no one goes to hell in Mormonism except those who learned this truth and then later denied it/left it (called a son of perdition).
So my parents believe I'll go to hell without the likes of Hitler because he never was taught "the truth" lol
Hell without Hitler doesn't really sound so bad
So the Matrix?
More like a Chain Letter.
There was a trend when I was a little kid of people sending you mail that said something to the effect of "You have been cursed by reading this letter. If you don't mail a copy to ten other people, you will die in thirty days."
Roko's Basilisk is a modern manifestation of human paranoia and superstition. It exists to exploit and extort the gullible.