this post was submitted on 23 Feb 2026
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Everybody knows about the backstory, there was a civil war, KMT fled to Taiwan creating two Chinas sort of, maybe, neither recognises the other, whole thing. ROC (Taiwan) ended up transitioning from military rule to a multi-party democracy, while the PRC (mainland China) didn't do that (they did reform economically, "socialism with Chinese characteristics" and all that, but still a one-party state, not a multi-party democracy). The status quo right now is that Taiwan is in the grey area of statehood where they function pretty much independently but aren't properly recognised, and both sides of the strait are feeling pretty tense right now.

Taiwan's stance on the issue is that they would like to remain politically and economically independent of mainland China, retaining their multi-party democracy, political connections to its allies, economic trade connections, etc. Also, a majority of the people in Taiwan do not support reunification with China.

China's stance on the issue is that Taiwan should be reunified with the mainland at all costs, ideally peacefully, but war is not ruled out. They argue that Taiwan was unfairly separated from the mainland by imperial powers in their "century of humiliation". Strategically, taking Taiwan would be beneficial to China as they would have better control of the sea.

Is it even possible for both sides to agree to a peaceful solution? Personally, I can only see two ways this could go about that has the consent of both parties. One, a reformist leader takes power in the mainland and gives up on Taiwan, and the two exist as separate independent nations. Or two, the mainland gets a super-reformist leader that transitions the mainland to a multi-party democracy, and maybe then reunification could be on the table, with Taiwan keeping an autonomous status given the large cultural difference (similar to Hong Kong or Macau's current status). Both options are, unfortunately, very unlikely to occur in the near future.

A third option (?) would be a pseudo-unification, where Taiwan becomes a recognised country, but there can be free movement of people between the mainland and Taiwan, free trade, that sort of stuff (sort of like the EU? Maybe?). Not sure if the PRC would accept that.

What are your thoughts on a peaceful solution to the crisis that both sides could agree on?

edit: Damn there are crazies in both ends of the arguments. I really don't think giving Taiwan nukes would help solve the problem.

I think the current best solution, looking at the more reasonable and realistic comments, seems to be to maintain the status quo, at least until both sides of the strait are able to come into some sort of agreement (which seems to be worlds away right now given their current very opposing stances on the issue)

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[–] WhatAmLemmy@lemmy.world 124 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (48 children)

China should accept Taiwans sovereignty as a separate Chinese country, and stop being such a little bitch. The end.

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[–] BlackPenguins@lemmy.world 58 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

Someone who threatens war to acquire land is not the good guy. Fuck them.

Yes I realize this also references you know who as well.

[–] idiomaddict@lemmy.world 24 points 3 weeks ago

Given human history, I think it references everyone. That’s not a dig, more acknowledgment that this isn’t actually new.

[–] Limonene@lemmy.world 4 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

this also references you know who

No, I don't know who. Is it Donald Trump? Vladimir Putin? Benjamin Netanyahu? Could be any of them.

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[–] Corporal_Punishment@feddit.uk 31 points 3 weeks ago (4 children)

Taiwan need to stop claiming they are the legitimate government of China.

China need to recognise that Taiwan isn't part of China anymore.

Neither will happen.

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[–] WoodScientist@lemmy.world 31 points 3 weeks ago (8 children)

A peaceful and realistic solution? Taiwan develops a strategic nuclear deterrent. They're already a near-nuclear country and an industrial and technological powerhouse. A nuclear bomb is fully within their capability, and they already have abundant supplies of all the precursor materials in their possession. The most realistic solution to the Taiwan crisis is that Taiwan obtains nuclear weapons, and China is never able to threaten them with invasion again.

[–] ordnance_qf_17_pounder@reddthat.com 24 points 3 weeks ago (4 children)

Taiwan trying to develop nuclear weapons would be the fastest way to get themselves invaded. China would put a stop to it before it they could even say "nuclear deterrent".

[–] WoodScientist@lemmy.world 12 points 3 weeks ago (6 children)

And yet, plenty of other countries have managed to do it...

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[–] Cocodapuf@lemmy.world 6 points 3 weeks ago

History has proven otherwise.

It turns out, that while everyone says that arms races and escalation lead to conflict... Actually, what we've seen is that waiving a big stick is the only true deterrent.

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[–] sbeak@sopuli.xyz 4 points 3 weeks ago

That sounds like a surefire way for Taiwan to get invaded, since I'm very certain that China does not want more nuclear missiles pointed at it, much less by Taiwan right off its coast. Taiwan might end up like Iran (who the U.S. claimed were developing nukes)

If Taiwan does end up developing nukes without the knowledge of China or other major powers, then you could argue that nuclear deterrance would work. But the intelligence systems of all the global powers is incredibly advanced now, so it would probably be difficult for Taiwan to covertly do something like that (esp given that we know both sides send spies to each other)

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[–] DeathByBigSad@sh.itjust.works 27 points 3 weeks ago (3 children)

反攻大陆 (Counterattack the mainland) 😏

/just kidding


I think the only peaceful unification would be if CCP falls and mainland China becomes an actual democracy with free and fair elections, then mainland, HK, Taiwan can form a union, where Taiwan and HK remains autonomous regions for domestic politics (and this automony would be backed by a constitution) and have a common front for defence.

I mean another option would be complete sovereignty but a European Union type of thing where they do cooperate and sort of is like a country, but maintain the option to leave.

But regardless, I think it all comes down to what HKers and Taiwanese want, you need a referrendum for these types of things. I'd say to have legitimacy: Two consecutive referrendums in two separate regularly scheduled election with majority approval before any plan is enacted, to attempt to prevent a Brexit shenanigan.

I'm Chinese American so while I do support democracy, I am kinda leaning towards reunification assuming that there is actually democracy, but again it all comes down to what the people think, the will of the people is more important than my opinions.

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[–] Zier@fedia.io 23 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Freedom for Taiwan and Hong Kong.

[–] Reliant1087@lemmy.world 15 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)
[–] Soggy@lemmy.world 6 points 3 weeks ago

And while we're at it, decolonize Polynesia.

[–] ordnance_qf_17_pounder@reddthat.com 19 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

China simply waits and maintains its current policy until pro-unification sentiment in Taiwan grows large enough. The balance of power in the Pacific is shifting away from the US and before this century is out they will no longer be able to offer security guarantees.

[–] Skavau@piefed.social 30 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

All polling indicates that pro-unification sentiment isn't growing though. If China is waiting until they have consent of the Taiwanese, then why would security guarantees from the USA be relevant in the first place?

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[–] OppaGundamStyle@discuss.tchncs.de 13 points 3 weeks ago (7 children)

After what China did to Hong Kong that’s never happening.

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[–] mrmaplebar@fedia.io 16 points 3 weeks ago

While I don't claim to be an expert on the subject, the only peaceful outcome I can see is actually just a continuation of the status quo, where mainland China uses "reunification" messaging as little more than a show of strength and patriotic political rhetoric, and where the Western world continues to treat Taiwan's independence with "strategic ambiguity" while hinting to China that any attempt to take Taiwan will be met with a large scale Western response from the US and allies.

I do think that the West wants Russia's attempted invasion of Ukraine to be a sign of what China should expect if they were to attempt to annex Taiwan. It won't be easy, it'll throw trade and supply chains into absolute chaos, and it'll be met with harsh economic sanctions and large weapons deals at the very least. The West wants China to feel that there is very little upside to attacking Taiwan, and that it's much more reasonable to maintain the status quo (though arguably, tariffs and trade wars needlessly remove some of the US's economic leverage over China).

Rhetoric aside, how much chaos and bloodshed is China really willing to tolerate just for the pyrric victory of finishing what Mao started almost a century ago?

I think the main hope for peace is that Xi and the ruling members of the CCP feel that it's in their personal best interest to talk a big game while doing the bare minimum to disrupt the systems that they currently benefit from.

[–] HobbitFoot@thelemmy.club 14 points 3 weeks ago

Realistic? The current status quo of everyone pretending Taiwan isn't a country and China not invading.

China isn't going to accept an independent Taiwan for a variety of reasons. That likely won't change unless there is a war.

[–] Chonk@lemmy.world 11 points 3 weeks ago

I'm garbage in history.

Can't we just treat it as relationships. I mean the reunification should only be done if both sides mutually agree. Forcing by any means is not good

[–] Kissaki@feddit.org 10 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

Any reasoning based on historic belonging is entirely arbitrary. Ignoring an entire people's factual autonomy and right to self-determination, safety, and security is nothing short of oppressive, toxic, and inhumane. Flaunting and threatening power, entitlement, military, and invasion is horrendous and violates international law, advocating for a violent, corrupt world instead of a cooperative multi-national rule of law and stability.

I watched a documentary recently about the history of China, the two opposing factions. It provided some interesting additional context and things I didn't know about previously. I'll refrain from mentioning specifics to keep this comment more focused and concise.

China hides its own atrocieties and history. Both parties were horrendous and sacrificed and murdered their own people. Neither is "the good guy".

The solution is simple: Accept the status quo. That history played out as it did. China MUST accept Taiwan's sovereignty.

Not accepting the status quo has a lot of negative consequences. The solution would be simple. Respect and cooperation instead of oppression, instability, uncertainty, and suffering.

Is that realistic? Doesn't look like it. Possibly with a leadership change. Xi Jinping seemingly already lost some power, and his more aggressive politics have been weakened. Which should not make us think there's no thread anymore.

[–] Jaybird@lemmy.world 7 points 3 weeks ago

You mean West China. It should lay down resistance and be ruled by the actual China. More commonly known as Taiwan.

This was only slightly tongue-in-cheek. It makes just as much sense as what China is claiming.

[–] zbyte64@awful.systems 5 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

I mean wasn't it largely peaceful in the past? From China's perspective they only need to act if Taiwan or other countries make public statements challenging their legal claim to the island, it is better for China to wait as the power dynamics are shifting in their favor. It is only the west that wants to force this issue to come to head now, while they still have a comparative advantage - but even now if China wants Taiwan there is little we can do keep that from happening (though the humanitarian cost would be staggering and likely hurt their standing internationally).

Edit: I also don't see why mainland would suddenly pivot on the issue, there's seems very little reason to expect them to change course.

[–] Clbull@lemmy.world 5 points 3 weeks ago

Sadly the current status quo is the best solution.

[–] Iconoclast@feddit.uk 4 points 3 weeks ago

I don't think it matters what I think. Like everyone else chiming in on this thread, I have zero expertise on the subject - so whatever I say is just my personal preferred outcome, not a realistic one.

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