this post was submitted on 21 Aug 2024
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[–] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 5 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

is anyone really expecting this to happen?

Something's got to give. The hard split with Russia and the increasing soft split with China is threatening the global dominance of the petro-dollar. At some point, the US is going to need to in-source large parts of its economy, and that's going to require public sector investment in a period of retreating dollar-dominance. That means either we gut spending on education, transportation, and health care (which would undermine re-industrialization at home) or we raise taxes.

Twelve years ago, you had Mitt Romney talking about putting more lower-class American "skin in the game" by imposing a higher taxes to cover the 47% of Americans who don't owe income taxes. That was a prelude to the modern moment, which we'd been kinda-sorta fortunate enough to forestall by deepening our trade relations with "enemy" nations and riding a new DotCom bubble out of the COVID crisis.

But now we've got serious revenue problems at the federal and state levels. We've cut too deeply on upper class taxes, and our political incentives are only to cut deeper. Gotta make that up from somewhere, or you're back to another inflationary spiral as the US floods with its own cheap money.