mbirth

Uh, The Outer Worlds is quite different to Outer Wilds.

After I really enjoyed “The Outer Worlds” on my Switch, the first games I’m playing on my (only recently bought) Steam Deck are the Fallout FPS games. Finished Fallout 3 last week and am currently enjoying New Vegas.

Ok so your prediction won't be perfect, it'll be a fraction of a percent off one way or another. It will be a figure that's statistically irrelevant. Flip a coin a ten thousand you're not likely to get exactly 5000 heads and 5000 tails. You'll get a bit over five thousand of one and a bit under five thousand of the other.

And here’s the kicker: the way climate models work is by predicting the next timeframe based on the previous one. Because of this, your “statistically irrelevant” error becomes larger and larger with each prediction, as the next prediction will be based on these small errors. And the next one will be based on those plus the further “irrelevant” errors. And so on… after a few iterations some values in these climate predictions get so out of line that there are actual routines in the models that force these values back into realistic ranges. And then, the next prediction gets calculated based on this out-of-realistic-but-forced-to-reasonable-range value. And the outcome of this kind of calculation is what all these climate researchers want to sell to us as the bitter truth.

The rapidity is the issue as much or more than the change itself. The speed means plants and animals can't migrate to areas that are better suited to them climatically, let alone give time for evolutionary based adaptations.

There were similar rapid temperature rises in the past, the latest one around 800-1000AD (if you want to trust the GISP2 data) or around 7970BC (if you want to go with the multi-core reconstruction method). Plants and animals are still here, aren’t they? Also, these graphs show that temperatures were way over +2.0 in the past.

We have tens of thousands of years of ice core data and hundreds to thousands of years of tree ring data.

Ice core data is just calculated based on the oxygen isotope solved in that ice. However, you can’t properly make deductions from a single ice core, so later models use the data from multiple cores. And even there, they had to “tune” the data to make it fit.

Yet that prediction will only work for a theoretical, perfectly even, perfectly flat and hermetically sealed roulette table with a perfectly round ball. Because you can never predict any microscopic material defects or any other influences on the ball in your model. Any piece of dust on the table will change the outcome.

And if you read up on the usually used models to “calculate” future climate, you’ll learn that those models need extra helper functions to e.g. declare water in mountain lakes at -10℃ as “ice” because the model doesn’t properly work that out on its own. It’s not that much better than Tasseography.

We’re coming out of an ice age, all the exact data we have to train those models is from the past 150-200 years. And even that data is questionable in parts. Of course, they’ll predict temperatures rising indefinitely, because they rose in the past 150-200 years. But nobody knows exactly when it’ll stop and where. So, how are the models supposed to predict that properly?

Was Earth hotter than now before? Sure, why else do we find mummified animals and perfectly preserved roads and settlements under the melting ice! Will temperatures rise indefinitely and kill us all? Probably not.

If you have battery drain, make sure you’ve disabled the option to regularly wake up and do some background processing (check for emails, sync photos, etc.). Settings → Battery → Options… → Wake for network access. (Or search for “Power Nap” in the System Sertings dialog.)

No need to use pmset for that.

Ubuntu. Or, get a Mac - which is even more “boring”.

It seems to use the file system - which basically IS a database. 😉

Try to enable “Game Mode” or “PC Mode” on your TV for that HDMI input. Also check the audio settings for supported formats and play around with the settings.

Also, what dock are you using?

They don’t have to lose full control. They could be following too closely and swerve onto the sidewalk to avoid a collision with a car and end up striking a pedestrian.

This is a matter of the human factor - and you can never make that disappear. There will always be the odd idiot driver.

The reduced speed limit should also be accompanied by lane narrowing, speed humps, and other traffic calming techniques.

This is totally fine for housing areas, but definitely not for through-roads. There's no one-for-all solution in the same way our bodies don't have only one size of blood vessel.

If these drivers don’t obey the rules now, what makes you think they will obey them if you lower the speed limit?

And you don’t just lose control of your car at 30mph or even 50. Especially not in today’s cars with all their safety features.

Shooting someone or throwing someone off a cliff is a deliberate act to hurt/kill someone else. No driver wants to kill someone. (Well, apart from these extremists that occasionally drive into German Christmas markets…)

People mindlessly walking into traffic, because that funny video on Instagram is more important than watching their surroundings, they are the problem.