Tuuktuuk

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[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 6 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

I keep repeating this, but I'll repeat it again:

I believe at this point Putin already knows the Russia has lost, but he also understands that what comes after the war is worse for the Russia than anything this war can possibly offer.
90 000 soldiers returning from Afghanistan to USSR with 300 million inhabitants caused the absolute clusterfuck that the 1990's in the Russia were. Those soldiers, gotten used to violence, were a horror. They are what was the base that gave birth to the internationally famously violent Russian mafia back then.

And now there aren't going to be 90 000 soldiers returning, but 700 000. And not to a country of 300 million, but to a country of 140 million. That's a 15-fold problem in comparison to population size compared to the end of 1980's and the 1990's. They're gonna have the 1990's again, only multiplied by 15. And because the soldiers are now much more cruel yet than the Soviets were in Afghanistan, the multiplier should actually be even higher than "mere" 15.

Putin can get the Russians to stay in the war for another half a year or year by talking NATO NATO NATO blah blah. It's several months more time before the onset of an absolute mayhem unheard of even in the Russia. Eventually the war will end, the soldiers will return home and, well, streets in all cities will have twelve bandits per hundred metres.

I believe it would still make more sense for almost everybody in the Russia to let the mayhem begin sooner than later, because if they wait more, it will be even crazier. It's already at the point where the only thing that can be done is for local groups to arise, and basically become independent countries, then denouncing the "heroes" and starting to actively protect their own area from the returning orcs. The Russia cannot do this, but Tatarstan can, and Republic of Sakha can. The earlier they end the war, the less people they will lose, and the more refineries and such they will have left.

Anyway: Putin knows he's lost the war. He just wants to delay the inevitable as much as possible. If you assume this, the rest actually starts making a lot of sense.

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 11 points 1 month ago

I interpreted this as "the Russia will not be anytime in the future in a position better than its current one."

(Also, I think the Russia will always be a bit too slow to understand how much its situation is deteriorated, in order to understand it should already fold. It might reduce its demands, but most likely never enough.)

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 7 points 1 month ago

A lot of companies sell vegan burgers, though.

If they have a line of burgers, some of which have meat in them and some don't, what are they supposed to do? Keep two different brands separately, putting their fish, chicken and bovine burgers under one brand and others under another? Or just ditch the word "burger" altogether?

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 41 points 1 month ago

The Russia won't run out of military equipment anytime soon. The most important reason to destroy it is that it's expensive to replace. And when it comes to air defence radars, also not really all that possible to replace.

What brings the war to end is economy. The Russia's economy won't survive very long anymore, and once the state is bankrupt, it no longer can pay the high salaries to its soldiers. Since the soldiers are in it almost exclusively for the money, that will mean there will no longer be new soldiers to replace the losses.

The Russia can of course print more money, but that will cause inflation, meaning that the soldiers' salaries need to be raised more, which increases the need to print more money, which... :)

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 2 points 1 month ago

A cool build! Need to try a priest again when my Assassin dies (or somehow gets to the bottom of it)

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 4 points 1 month ago (4 children)

There are typically about 5 seriously permanently wounded to 1 dead, and in the case of the Russia, a bit over 2 wounded per 1 dead. The rate is so much lower because many of the soldiers who would end up on the list of wounded end up dying because of the lacking healthcare.

Still: If the million would be dead, there would be 2,5 million seriously permanently injured, and the Russian army would have lost altogether 3,5 million soldiers in dead and wounded. And if 3,5 million had been lost, well, things would look very different.

This proves quite clearly that the number includes also the seriously wounded, and a bit under a third of the number is actual dead.

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 20 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I have had the understanding since already around summer 2022, that the Russia is completely all-in. Putin sees it so that the Russian Federation equals Putin. For him the loss of his junta means the death of the Russia. If not putting everything in play means your junta will be toppled (that is, in your eyes: Your country will be destroyed for good), then you will absolutely put everything in use. After all, what use is it that you've saved some tanks in storage if your country gets destroyed for good?

They might hold on to a part of their tanks for a couple of months or so, but quite soon they will be on the front as well.

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 3 points 1 month ago

I did actually used line break in between the 5 styles.

But it appeared in one line. Dunno why.

It appeared in one line because you did not end your lines with two spaces.
You write a line. Then you press the Space bar. Then you press the Space bar again.
And then you press Enter.

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 5 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

If you want a line break without having an empty line in between, end the line with two spaces.

This
is
actually
possible.

The text formatting system used on Piefed and Lemmy is called Markdown. You can find an excellent short Markup tutorial in the net. It'll teach the rest.

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 2 points 1 month ago

Mihinkähän tuo kalusto mahtaa päätyä? Nyt on tehty niin, että joka toinen päivä runko ajetaan Pariisiin, joka toinen päivä Brysseliin. Muuttuukohan tämä sellaiseksi, että vaan mennään joka päivä Brysseliin?

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee 1 points 1 month ago

Brysseli onneksi aikoo pysyä, eikä sieltä ole pitkä matka Pariisiin. Typeräähän se on, että pitää vikoiksi metreiksi vaihtaa toiseen junaan, kun se lisäksi tarkoittaa paria tuntia myöhäisempää saapumisaikaa kuin mikä muuten olisi mahdollista. Mutta hyvin sujuva yhteys tuollaisenakin on, että Brysselissä vaihdetaan yöjunasta TGV:hen.

[–] Tuuktuuk@piefed.ee -3 points 1 month ago (1 children)

They have the same intent, but there's no proof that there is a plan to really actively murder all Palestinians. Also, people in Gaza now have about as much food to eat as inmates of Nazi concentration camps had in the first half of 1940's, but the rest of the horrible torture is not being done.

So, basically, people are okay with what the Nazis did between 1932 and 1941. But from 1941 onwards, Nazis went over some line that is not acceptable.

In my opinion, Nazis were horribly evil already in 1932 and what they did back then was already absolutely condemnable, but it seems that most people in our society don't share my view on this. You are allowed to commit a genocide using starvation and bullets, like the Nazis did until 1941, but when you start using actual gas chambers, it becomes a no-no.

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