this post was submitted on 08 Oct 2025
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Russia will likely have more time than we expect. North Korea are proving to be more helpful than expected and have tons of old Soviet era hardware that they would be willing to sell in exchange for some more rocket tech or nuke stuff.
China would also likely be selling their old Soviet era hardware they might still have kicking around. A lot of countries around the world see Putin as desperate and rich so they will be happy to make some money selling older hardware back to the country that made it. Putin likely sees this as fine since the hardware works with the existing forces.
But the money and favors aren't infinite. Putin is still dying of old age and disease. It's a long road but Ukraine is destined to succeed.
The Russia won't run out of military equipment anytime soon. The most important reason to destroy it is that it's expensive to replace. And when it comes to air defence radars, also not really all that possible to replace.
What brings the war to end is economy. The Russia's economy won't survive very long anymore, and once the state is bankrupt, it no longer can pay the high salaries to its soldiers. Since the soldiers are in it almost exclusively for the money, that will mean there will no longer be new soldiers to replace the losses.
The Russia can of course print more money, but that will cause inflation, meaning that the soldiers' salaries need to be raised more, which increases the need to print more money, which... :)