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Biden's approval rating just hit its lowest mark on record (www.businessinsider.com)

submitted 10 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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[–] [email protected] 0 points 10 months ago (1 children)

So the biggest issue on polling is that it's a broken system. It relies on all people to answer when asked, and what we're seeing is people flat out aren't doing it. Think about it. When's the last time you answered an unknown number, and if that number wasn't something you were expecting (like your car repair person telling you your vehicle was ready) did you stay on the line?

This same kind of thing is popping up when we look at polling for the primaries and then see the actual voter data. They haven't been lining up for a while.

Think back to 2022. The media, for months, was saying there was going to be a red wave election. Polling was supporting this as well. And... they had a measly 5 seat majority.

I think people are putting way too much faith in polling the past few cycles, because something fundamentally changed in how people interact with them.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Right? Just a few days ago reported that Biden was winning battleground states because of felon.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Approval is not the same as "won't vote for", and even if it was, if enough of the other guy's base won't vote for him an unpopular person can still win. There's nothing incompatible about an unpopular candidate leading in polls. Whoever wins this election will have a net-negative approval rating.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 10 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago)