This flavor of candid admittance from a diplomat is not something I'm used to. I like it.
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If this information is true and the Chinese officials weren't bullshitting, then leaking this doesn't sound like a good move on the European official end.
The whole world is terrorized by assholes
Out of all the reasons China needs Russia to win this is the most bullshit one they could serve us. They are sided with Putin, supply him with military equipment and help him get around sanctions for oil. They need Putin's war economy to work so they can replicate it in South East Asia obviously.
Doesn't their economy have a way bigger production capacity than Russia's? Why would they want to replicate Russia's? China seems much more successful at manufacturing at scale.
Taco Don already functionally stopped all aid and arms supply to Ukraine and trying his hardest to ignore Ukraine, and will probably chicken out from helping Taiwan defend itself too in case latter gets invaded.
So that's just China being asshole too and wanting Russia to succeed, because that'd mean you can take a dump on international laws and have benefits that outweigh repercussions.
If whatever remains of free democratic world won't get its shit together soon - we will just get picked apart eventually by those last iteration imperialists.
Yah, if anything, this is even more reason Russia must not win, it can cripple China too.
Until now, the fact that the rest of the civilised world would wreck their economy through sanctions has stopped them doing that.
They arent wrong in the sense that we need something to occupy Trumps attention with that doesnt cause too much damage. Problem is, the Ukraine war causes a bunch of fucking damage...
People tend to forget how afraid China is of USA. Last time Trump was in office Milley had to call China a couple of times to tell them USA was not going to implode and attack China.
Someone has to make hard decisions when other people won't make sane decisions. No one wants Trump to start WW3 with China. No one.
Remember what just happened when China hit the off switch on rare earth metals?
Trump might want this
The deeper implications of this are... frightening, to say the least.
The US has been the biggest long term enemy to the working populations of the world since the end of the WWII, including its own. Throw a pin on the map, and you're likely to hit a place that's been affected by a war started or fought by the US, or a place where the US has had a hand in destroying worker power in order to for American business to extract resources and labour for cheap, or a sanctioned place where working people are made to suffer in order to overthrow their government, or a combination thereof.