this has already been studied

The regret rate is 1%. you're more likely to regret having kids (7%), getting a tattoo (16.2%),, or having knee replacement surgery (20%).

While social transitioning and hormone replacement seems to be less studied than gender affirming surgeries (GAS), there was a 2021 study that looked at the factors that involved regret for transitioning. The study found that of participants who ever pursued gender affirmirmation, only 13% reported detransitioning AND of that 13%:

• 82.5% reported at least one external factor influencing them
• 15.9% reported at least one internal factor.

Keep in mind those are % of % so if you want to say the internal-factored regret rate of individuals who pursued gender affirmation and detransitioned then you get 2% (.13 x .159).

Id be very skeptical of any US-gov backed research in these areas going forward

There has been studies on this. Turns out trans individuals experience less regret than those that receive other elective and life savings surgeries. Yes there are some who regret their decision to transition but so does my dad after getting bypass surgery because he's in constant pain now. Doesn't mean bypass surgery should be outlawed. Hell, look at the percentage of people that regret breast enhancement surgery and you don't see conservatives fighting to outlaw those.

I’m just going to quote tumblr user catboybiologist here:

Hey.

Hey.

Hey.

(quote in the OP)

They are targeting adults.

US people:

Create a backup plan for access to HRT. Now.

Prepare in advance, stockpile what you legally (or in minecraft) can, find diy that you trust.

They are going to take your medically required medication from you. This study is expected to start in about six months, and will likely be bullshit that only takes a couple months after that. There is still time.

However, I would predict an almost guarantee of a major federal legal restriction on adult HRT access in the 6mo-1yr from now range. I don’t want any of the bullshit I got at the time of the election about “fearmongering”. I stand by everything I said then.

That study is going to come up with absolutely nothing to support their crusade. The problem is they won't stop just because of proof.

Whatever they find, they're going to try and spin it to suit their agenda. They're not interested in actual facts.