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The Junior Developer Is Going Extinct (dev.to)

submitted 1 day ago by mothasa@x69.org to c/programming@programming.dev

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AI coding tools are replacing entry-level programming jobs faster than anyone predicted. The traditional path from junior to senior developer is collapsing, and the consequences for the entire industry could be devastating. If you mentor juniors or hire them, this one hits different.

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[–] lichtmetzger@discuss.tchncs.de 23 points 1 day ago (1 children)

The skill erosion is real, and I could see it on myself just after a week of trying out Claude

While it took me a few months to really notice it, that still shocked me. Using AI extensively makes you depend on it - and that's exactly what the big players want. A customer paying a recurring subscription just to do their job.

Since I am not forced to use it, I deleted my OpenAI account and started to code without LLM assistance again. It's much more fun to solve problems by myself (and get a dopamine kick out of that) anyway - and when the bubble inevitably pops, I can still go on as I did before.

[–] mindbleach@sh.itjust.works 6 points 1 day ago (1 children)

A customer paying a recurring subscription just to do their job.

Local models will win. They're half-assed, but the big boys only provide fractionally more ass. LLMs will become just another tool you can call on when you'd rather read code than write it.

[–] lichtmetzger@discuss.tchncs.de 3 points 1 day ago (2 children)

I really hope so, but for that to happen, hardware prices have to go down again and that might take a while.

[–] mindbleach@sh.itjust.works 1 points 1 hour ago

The fuck are people downvoting for? 8 GB and no CUDA is sufficient for a variety of LLMs. That comparison's from a year and a half ago, which is forever in this industry, but it's not like small models got worse.

This mildly terrible website shows Min Istral 3B benchmarking above state-of-the-art DeepSeek R1 32B from ten months prior. And also above the 72B version of Qwen 2.5, whose 3B version was top-of-the-list for the ItsFoss guy.

[–] mindbleach@sh.itjust.works -2 points 21 hours ago

A Raspberry Pi can run local models. You don't need 64 gigs and a 5090.