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Great job. As I see it the real problem is that low-end Wintel laptops seem to be going away, replaced first by Chromebooks and soon probably by Android laptop edition, which presumably will have the non-Intel architecture and weird blobs and locked bootloader of any smartphone. Or is this too pessimistic?
Nah mate, it's hard to be too pessimistic these days. That's probably just the right amount of pessimism.
I think devices like the Framework 12 continue to be available but RAM and SSD costs won't necessarily mean that lower end performance will not necessarily mean afforable, at least all the way through 2026.
Hmm. Having trouble parsing your negatives but I think you're saying "expensive".
What bothers me is that a decade ago there were loads of Linux-compatible budget netbooks on sale at every big-box retailer, whereas there seems to be nothing today under 500 bucks/euro except Chromebooks, and nothing at all with a smallish screen except mega-expensive ultrabooks. It's becoming a problem.