UK Politics
General Discussion for politics in the UK.
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Six London councils? Not a chance.
I do unfortunately still think Reform will win the next GE, but London won’t be the reason why.
It'll be the Labour and Tory heartlands, which are now the Reform heartlands, that swing this their way.
The outer-suburban councils, where everybody drives and resents congestion charges/low emission zones/cyclists/tax money being spent on public transport for metropolitan “elites”? The fash have a better chance than you think.
Seems way too early to be making such predictions. "A week is a long time in politics" as they say
To me it's very weird how every election I've been part of so far in the UK has been viewed as basically predetermined long ahead of time. What's up with that?
People are idiots who happily vote for a catchy slogan from a lovable rascal, than vote for their interests. Especially if said rascal has the financial banking of a few billionaires, can spread the slogan far and wide across all media, and can even cow the official news sources to feature it
Fun fact, most of reform's donors are either deeply invested in the fossil fuel industry or outright climate change deniers.
https://www.desmog.com/2024/06/04/nigel-farage-reform-uk-party-2-3-million-fossil-fuel-interests-climate-deniers-polluters-since-2019-election/
(Although I would be careful with the 92% number, it's technically accurate but will be misleading if you try to extrapolate policy from it, since the donors aren't single-issue donors)
I assume that's how they keep rioting at a minimum. Nobody questions if everything is going according to how they were told it would be, to paraphrase the Joker.