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LLMs don't just imitate human speech. They do much more in application - and that IS already displacing people, people who can't just "find a new job". People in call centers, (remote) customer support, personal assistants, and so on.

And then we haven't even touched down on how it's changing IT. Software development alone is seeing massive changed with more and more code being AI generated, more and more functionality being offloaded to AI, which improves individual performance, allowing companies to cut down on manforce. The issue with that? There aren't enough employers who could pick up those displaced people.

Oh and then we haven't addressed the fact that this AI displacement is also affecting future generations of these jobs. In software development, there's already a shift from interns and juniors to AI, because it's cheaper. This means that out of 100 fresh starters, maybe, maybe ten will get the chance to actually gain experience and progress anywhere, the rest are being discarded because AI is cheaper and "better" at those tasks.

Previous industrial shifts have caused similar displacement, but those were slow processes. The most well known example would be the luddites going against the mechanical loom. While the luddites weren't right about it, as handmade clothing has increased in price AND the displaced people were re-trained to manage the looms, that was also a slow process as the looms themselves were expensive, took time to replace manual workers, so not all textile factories could afford them, and demand was there for the increased capacity.

Compare it with today's AI shift, and there's a clear distinction - within 3-4 years of LLMs showing up, we are on the verge of a potential societal collapse due to everyone and their mum trying to implement AI everywhere, even (especially!) in places it's not needed. This speed, this adoption rate is simply not sustainable without planning for the displaced people. Because if UBI doesn't happen, we're truly looking at the most exposed bottom ~30% of earners (and even a big number of high earners!) not having any sort of income or the ability to get income, and things will mirror the situation a century ago, kick-starting another great depression but exacerbated by factors like much lower property ownership (yay private equity buying up residential properties to rent them out at extortionate prices), much higher cost of living, and so on.

And we all know what the effects of the Great Depression culminated into. War, famine, ruin.