this post was submitted on 22 Apr 2025
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FSD any year now
That’s the neat thing about FSD, you can pick any year you want and find Elon saying it will arrive then.
FSD N+1 {current _year}
Have you tried it lately? It's very close to zero interventions.
Do you remember those Wylie Coyote and Roadrunner cartoons?
https://duckduckgo.com/?q=self+driving+tesla+wall&t=fpas&ia=web
Tesla got rid of lidar and other sensors in the FSD codebase. Until all Teslas get retrofitted with the HW4 compute units and upgraded cameras, I would prefer people to leave it off and just use automatic cruise and lane assist.
Did you not read the follow-ups to that story?
https://nypost.com/2025/03/18/business/youtuber-mark-robers-tesla-crash-test-sparks-hoax-accusations/
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-17/luminar-shares-soar-after-lidar-featured-in-viral-youtube-video
I have access to both a HW3 and a HW4 running FSD, They both work very well.
I sent a full list of a useful search with many articles including the followups you posted. So yes, I read the follow up stories. All of them conclude the HW4 is necessary for FSD.
Also, it's not just walls that are being hit.
https://duckduckgo.com/?q=tesla+hitting+motorcycles&t=fpas&ia=web
Edit: HW4 is necessary for safe FSD. Not just FSD to run, apologies for the miscommunication.
If you read the articles, then you know there's been a never-ending series of hit pieces from people with connections to the LIDAR industry.
For the computer, I'm not talking about articles, I'm talking about personal, daily experience with a model y with HW3 and a model 3 with HW4. I can't find any difference at all between the two. HW3 might be doomed, but so far they are able to keep it level with HW4.
And on FSD's progress itself, there's perhaps one real intervention per week now. It's not done, but six to twelve months looks possible now.
In those articles a Tesla Model Y would not stop but a Cybertruck would. The difference is cameras and HW3/4. Same FSD version same driver similar conditions. I've also edited the post you replied to.