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this post was submitted on 08 Apr 2025
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Short of China attacking Russia to reclaim territory, I think war will inevitably come to Taiwan's shores. The US, as it is, won't protect anybody.
Taiwan getting raped is definitely on my BINGO card. Humpty Trumpty won't do anything to help.
Is a Russian invasion of the Baltics on your card? Or do you think that is unlikely?
After they finish the take over of Ukraine, I would say every country is at risk. I don't know enough of the area to gauge which is at most danger.
At this point a comete takeover of Ukraine is possible but not likely.
US standing up to China in the SCS is the only thing that I think is still at play for the US. The military positioning was already set up, and the ego harm would be too great. Maybe they negotiate it away instead.