this post was submitted on 30 Mar 2025
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Not really, LLMs can't keep the plot for more than a few paragraphs and still constantly context switch.
Add on top of that we are currently at 90% saturation for what is possible with LLM technology, meaning that the brightest minds in AI have realized that there is no singularity curve approaching infinity but a bottleneck over the cross-indexing of tokens. The more tokens, the exponentially more connections need to be made.
Adding a new token means greater overhead and while our technology grows linearly, the cost per token grows exponentially and that is an unsustainable curve limited by the total global possible processing and we'd need to triple that before the next generation of LLMs can have enough tokens to make a difference in quality
Add on top of that I've got 30 years max left to live and I'm pretty confident we won't see writers lose out in that time.
30 years? How do you figure?
Also, you are putting way to much faith in publishers right now.
I'm old
And if you've seen long form LLM output, you know why publishers aren't ditching human writers for the foreseeable future
I doubt they care as long as it saves them money. Maybe they will use editors to clean things up. But sooner or later they will pull the trigger