this post was submitted on 18 Feb 2025
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[โ€“] ininewcrow@lemmy.ca 17 points 1 year ago (4 children)

Odds go up because we want it to hit earth? Or because of science?

[โ€“] Cephalotrocity@biglemmowski.win 21 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

As Astronomers refine the asteroid's course accuracy, the Earth's known path takes up a greater percentage of it until suddenly the likelihood of impact plummets to zero. There's a good video about this. Jump to 7 min for the ;tldw

(Edit: Link)

[โ€“] bluemellophone@lemmy.world 6 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Was gonna post the same thing. Scottโ€™s two videos on the topic are a great intro for the science-minded general public.

[โ€“] mesamunefire@lemmy.world 14 points 1 year ago (1 children)
[โ€“] spankmonkey@lemmy.world 3 points 1 year ago

Science wants it to hit Earth, confirmed!

[โ€“] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 4 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

placebo effect or no-cebo effect?