this post was submitted on 13 Feb 2025
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Well when they're saying there's 2% odds, that's....probably still higher than you want for the probability of a world ending asteroid strike.
It's not a world ending strike. It's 2.3% odds that a city ending strike lands somewhere on earth, most likely in the ocean.
It's a fraction of a fraction of a % that it'll hit somewhere with any humans at all, much less a populated city.
And on top of that, we have until 2032 to decide what to do about it, with enough time to potentially redirect it with technology we've already demonstrated that works. And if that isn't enough, we just need one or two more data points to figure out almost exactly where it will hit, and can evacuate the area.
Just like we do for hurricanes and other natural disasters.
This is not an emergency, this is an easy mode try out for a real disaster.
So it's going to be horribly fumbled in the stupidest manner possible and will definitely become a worldwide disaster. Got it.
45/47 is going to shoot down anything that tries to divert it, then. Gotcha.
The one caveat is, it’s going to be out of visual range soon and we won’t get any more info for a few years
City ending will cause weather chaos and possibly radioactive fallout.
But the funny part is that you think 2032 is enough time. Humans are USELESS when we need to do large international projects to a deadline.
You're clearly falling for the clickbait articles. This is not a world ender and will not cause radioactive fallout. Read better articles.
The earths crust has radioactive material. Anything that fires loads of it into the sky could cause fallout. It surely depends where it lands, but it's also not outside the realm of possibility.
Edit: you're probably right.