this post was submitted on 30 Apr 2026
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Ukraine

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[–] The_v@lemmy.world 21 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

My armchair general take on it:

Up until now in the war Ukraine has mostly been on the defense. Russia has been attacking constantly, daily, without letup for years. Every day another couple Russian battalions attack with horrendous casualties. Then the next day the same thing happens. Russia has many battalions that exist to gain a few inches and die. It looks like Russia is finally starting to run out of men willing to join these expendable battalions.

Russia does have some highly trained and effective people in the rear. They are in the industries manufacturing for the war, the logistics people moving goods and soldiers to the front, mechanics, drone pilots etc. These are the people that Ukraine has to neutralize to win the war.

Recently Ukraine has subtly converted from a defensive position to a more strategic offense. They have degraded the Russian defense enough that they can effectively target the people/infrastructure in the rear. These are not easily or quickly replaced. Each one neutralized creates a weakness that exposes more to attack. Eventually Russia will collapse and be forced to retreat.

[–] esc@piefed.social 1 points 5 hours ago

True, strategical offence, tactical defence/slow retreat. We have a lot of problems with actual defense tho, r*ssia can push enough men and resources to finish off donetsk oblast. Also 4 years of destruction do play a huge role, it's hard and slow to infrastructure. As for attacking with men we are really suffering from dumb decisions of 23-24 and propaganda war being lost to m*scovia.