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I’ve been waiting for China to do something.
A year+ ago I learned the Strait of Hormuz existed from a video about China and Taiwan. In that video they claimed that if China were to do something dramatic like invade Taiwan, the US could retaliate by using its naval might to close to Strait of Hormuz.
China produces little oil and relies on imports for something like 80%. And most of that comes through the Strait of Hormuz. With that closed, China begins ticking through their reserves, which last something like 90 days.
So closing the Strait was always a card the US could play against China, a formidable opponent to the US (as Trump sees the world anyway).
Now the US has started a bizarre war against Iran with unclear goals. But surprise surprise, Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz. So basically the US got one of China’s own partners, Iran, to put a chokehold on China.
It’s just a matter of time before China responds.
Do we want World War 3? Because this seems like how we get World War 3.
Iran is allowing Chinese flagged vessels through I believe
Yes, I heard that as well. What it mean though, is that US doesn't have control of the strait right now.
I don’t understand how they create an effective barrier to the whole rest of the world without at least slowing down Chinese vessels.
How do their rocket systems even know where all the ships are bound for?
Because they have a stockpile of cheap drones that can be launched from anywhere in the country and only need to keep an eye on a choke point that is 39km (24 miles) wide. They aren't physically blocking it but the threat of drones and now maybe mines are causing insurance companies to exclude these tankers that are worth hundreds of millions of dollars.
Doesn’t the insurance issue affect Chinese bound ships the same as any others? I’m not yet seeing how this adds up to Iran being able to block just what they want and allow through just what they want. Mines especially aren’t known for being discriminating.
China can self insure if they need the oil badly enough.
I'm just some dude on the Internet man. I'm parroting what I've read elsewhere. You'd have to look around at more reliable sources for the answers to your questions
Appreciate the honesty. I do read the news but then Reddit is often good for asking the inevitable follow up questions that haven’t clicked for me.
Iran hasn't closed the strait to its own tankers.
So? The US is attacking Iranian ships.
Iran is now exporting more oil through the Strait of Hormuz than before the war.
https://www.news18.com/world/is-iran-exporting-more-oil-now-because-it-controls-strait-of-hormuz-what-data-shows-ws-l-9955693.html
Keep in mind there's a huge fog of was element to this, but there are reports that the US Navy is allowing China-bound tankers to pass simply because stopping them would basically be an act of war against China.
Trump knows he hasn't got too many years left in him. Do you honestly think he'll accept the idea of people getting to live when he can't? Yes, he's that petty and that vindictive.