this post was submitted on 17 Feb 2026
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Self-driving cars are often marketed as safer than human drivers, but new data suggests that may not always be the case.

Citing data from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), Electrek reports that Tesla disclosed five new crashes involving its robotaxi fleet in Austin. The new data raises concerns about how safe Tesla’s systems really are compared to the average driver.

The incidents included a collision with a fixed object at 17 miles per hour, a crash with a bus while the Tesla vehicle was stopped, a crash with a truck at four miles per hour, and two cases where Tesla vehicles backed into fixed objects at low speeds.

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[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 14 points 17 hours ago (2 children)

Not just lower, a tiny fraction of the human rate of accidents:

https://waymo.com/safety/impact/

Also, AFAIK this includes cases when the Waymo car isn't even slightly at fault. Like, there have been 2 deaths involving a Waymo car. In one case a motorcyclist hit the car from behind, flipped over it, then was hit by another car and killed. In the other case, ironically, the real car at fault was a Tesla being driven by a human who claims he experienced "sudden unintended acceleration". It was driving at 98 miles per hour in downtown SF and hit a bunch of stopped cars at a red light, then spun into oncoming traffic and killed a man and his dog who were in another car.

Whether or not self-driving cars are a good thing is up for debate. But, it must suck to work at Waymo and to be making safety a major focus, only to have Tesla ruin the market by making people associate self-driving cars with major safety issues.

[–] TooManyGames@sopuli.xyz 5 points 16 hours ago (1 children)

I immediately formed a conspiracy theory that Teslas automatically accelerate when they see Waymo cars

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 4 points 16 hours ago (1 children)

And it's not out of aggression. It's just that their image recognition algorithms are so terrible that they match the Waymo car with all its sensors to a time-traveling DeLorean and try to hit 88 mph.... or something.

[–] TooManyGames@sopuli.xyz 2 points 9 hours ago

They crash for the memes. Sounds about right considering who's in charge.

[–] ThirdConsul@lemmy.zip 3 points 16 hours ago (2 children)

Not just lower, a tiny fraction of the human rate of accidents:

https://www.iihs.org/research-areas/fatality-statistics/detail/state-by-state

Well, no. Lets talk fatality rate. According to linked data, human drivers

1.26 deaths per 100 million miles traveled

Vs Waymo 2 deaths per 127 million miles :)

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 5 points 15 hours ago (1 children)

Well, Waymo's really at 0 deaths per 127 million miles.

The 2 deaths are deaths that happened were near Waymo cars in a collision involving the Waymo car. Not only did the Waymo not cause the accidents, they weren't even involved in the fatal part of either event. In one case a motorcyclist was hit by another car, and in the other one a Tesla crashed into a second car after it had hit the Waymo (and a bunch of other cars).

The IIHS number takes the total number of deaths in a year, and divides it by the total distance driven in that year. It includes all vehicles, and all deaths. If you wanted the denominator to be "total distance driven by brand X in the year", you wouldn't keep the numerator as "all deaths" because that wouldn't make sense, and "all deaths that happened in a collision where brand X was involved as part of the collision" would be of limited usefulness. If you're after the safety of the passenger compartment you'd want "all deaths for occupants / drivers of a brand X vehicle" and if you were after the safety of the car to all road users you'd want something like "all deaths where the driver of a brand X vehicle was determined to be at fault".

The IIHS does have statistics for driver death rates by make and model, but they use "per million registered vehicle years", so you can't directly compare with Waymo:

https://www.iihs.org/ratings/driver-death-rates-by-make-and-model

Also, in Waymo it would never be the driver who died, it would be other vehicle occupants, so I don't know if that data is tracked for other vehicle models.

[–] hector@lemmy.today 0 points 6 hours ago

I seem to recall a homeless woman that got killed like right away when they released these monstrosities on the road, because why pay people to do jobs when machines can do them for you? I'm sure that will work out for everyone, with investment income.

[–] 73ms@sopuli.xyz 3 points 15 hours ago (2 children)

When there's two deaths total it's pretty obvious that there just isn't enough data yet to consider the fatal accident rate. Also FWIW like was said neither of those was in any way the Waymo's fault.

[–] hector@lemmy.today 1 points 6 hours ago (1 children)

That's the problem, you can't trust these companies not to use corrupt influence to blame others for their mistakes. It's you verses a billions of dollars companies with everything at stake, that owns (senior tiered leasing rights,) your politicians, both locally, in state, and federally, and by extension the regulators up and down the line.

Do you not know how things work in this country? Given their outsized power we don't want them involved in determining blame for accidents, dash cam footage or no, we've seen irrefutable evidence is no guarentee of justice, even if it's provided to you.

[–] 73ms@sopuli.xyz 1 points 5 hours ago (1 children)

Well Waymo isn't assigning blame, it's a third party assessment based on the information released about those accidents. The strongest point remains that fatal accidents are rare enough that there simply isn't enough data to claim any statistical significance for these events. The overall accident rate for which data is sufficient remains significantly lower than the US average.

[–] hector@lemmy.today 1 points 5 hours ago (1 children)

They have influence with the police and regulators, and insurance companies, to avoid blame.

They are on limited routes, at lower speeds, so they won't have a higher fatality rate. If you compared human drivers for that same stretch of road it would also be zero. You can't compare human drivers on expressways during rush hour with waymo's trip between the airport and the hotels on a mapped out route that doesn't go on the expressway.

[–] 73ms@sopuli.xyz 0 points 1 hour ago (1 children)

It is obviously false that fatal accidents would be "zero" on the roads Waymos are limited to, it's ridiculous to even suggest such a thing. What is true that such accidents are even more rare there though. It's another good reason for why it makes no sense to solely focus on fatal accidents as they are unlikely to be involved in them anyway due to these limits. That's in addition to the fact that the statistical analysis is simply impossible with current vehicle miles.

Now, I'm not saying we know for certain Waymo is much safer than a human as the current statistics imply, that is going to require more rigorous studies. I would say what we've got is good enough to say that nothing points to them being particularly unsafe.

[–] hector@lemmy.today 1 points 1 hour ago

What do you mean, you are comparing dangerous driving spots to safe driving spots. No shit the highway entry ramps have more fatal accidents than the leisure cruise in the 8 lane road from the airport to the hotel. And yes, human drivers on that leisure cruise would have a different rate of accidents than on the death ramps on the expressways.

Not acknowledging that point, and misrepresenting it, doesn't speak well to your credibility here, it's a simple and unarguable point.

[–] ThirdConsul@lemmy.zip 1 points 9 hours ago

The "fault" means nothing to "deaths per miles" statistic though?