this post was submitted on 20 Jan 2026
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[–] Paragone@lemmy.world 1 points 3 days ago

This is partly because the models have NEVER matched the data.

yt's "Just Have A Think" seems a good channel, for accurate information on global warming.. ( FAR better than MSM )

but there's a simple, blunt principle which has always been true, in ClimatePunctuations:

The SPEED of change goes from 0 up to maximum-speed-of-change, then back down to 0, at the new ClimateEquilibrium.

So, you get a BELL-curve, for the speed of change.

That's predictable.

Where are we on that curve??

In the still-accelerating part.

ALL the forecasts seem to ignore that, & intentionally-leave-out huge pieces..

Interior Antarctica is heating at 2x the speed predicted by the models, I read in 2025 or 2024.

They didn't include the freshwater from Greenland's melting until 2023 or something??

The "Cold Blob" visible from space had no explanation until then??

( what was icemelt supposed to do, except be

  1. cold
  2. less salty/dense, & so remaining on the top, &
  3. spreading out, monkeying the entire region's ecology & evaporation-cycle-speed? )

I've read that it isn't that the models are wrong, rather, it is that the data isn't agreeing with them.

Pseudoscientific bunk ( one of that yt-channel's videos mentioned a guy with ICC authority maintained the models are trustworthy in spite of the evidence contradicting them.. )

No, this is systemic intentional-ignorance, in ALL dimensions: government, "science"-institution, politics, economy, EVERYthing.


No matter: we're on-track for something like +9C, & that means that the US is going to have to rampage Canada, in order to have any place to live, right?

& same with India's population needing a new home, same with Saudi Arabia's, same with northern Africa's..

Basically, a region above, & a region below, the entire Equator may end up being uninhabitable, or the entire tropics, even.

As a former NASA Chief Scientist noted: Venus's climate IS a possible outcome.

The climate-problems we've got now, are NOTHING, compared with what they're going to be in another decade.

& again, the following decade..

.. until we reach the maximum-speed-of-change, & begin slowing-down the speed-of-change.

Since we won't allow slowing-down to begin, ..

.. then human viability may be off the table.

Whole-species DarwinAward, due to our political-motivation, instead of objectivity+practicality.

Earned, though: Universe IS honest, that way..

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