this post was submitted on 21 Jan 2026
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The USA can simply refuse to pay up. However, that would instantly crater their credit rating. Going from AAA straight to D would make future lending very expensive.
Countries basically can't work without borrowing money. That's what these treasuries are. The EU holds a crapton of US government debt; 10 trillion dollars with all types of assets combined. Liquidating them sends a clear message that US debt is no longer worth holding onto. That leaves us with two scenarios:
Either way, it's economic warfare, and not the border skirmish kind. This could very well completely fuck the US economy for decades.
Would the USA retaliate? Sure. But this is already in a scenario where the USA pose a direct military threat to the EU. It'd simply add another layer to the war.
Where are you getting those figures? The TOTAL foreign held treasuries are around 10T (EU combined, without UK, has like 1,4T). US also does NOT owe repayment on demand. The COVID exceeded $4T without systemic collapse, although it made the market "feel" it. Theres no way to... financially nuke an economy, using bonds. You cant even sell them back to the US, youd have to sell them to China, Japan... other countries.
They can flood the open market with cheap bonds, meaning that when the US auctions off freshly minted bonds, they're worth significantly less and therefore yields are significantly higher, which can lead to a death spiral of either: 1) the US has to continuously issue bonds at higher and higher yields just to pay off the previous round of bonds, 2) the Fed prints money to buy the bonds and the dollar collapses, or 3) the US just doesn't pay, and then we're basically back to 1 moving forward.
So yes, bond dumping can definitely fuck up the economy.
If I'm not mistaken, the US has 5 nuclear missile installations in the EU. Talk about the call coming from inside the house!