this post was submitted on 14 Nov 2025
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_video_game_consoles
Things might work differently for Valve due to games they sell also running on devices from other manufacturers and their hardware presumably being fully backwards-compatible. I wouldn't be confident saying that they would work the same way.
However, if one assumes that they do work similarly, the Steam Deck came out in early 2022, (and the minor OLED update in 2023). If they intend a five-year model, one would expect 2027.
Even if I expected Valve to have a similar schedule for continued hardware releases, I would expect them to be unique in that they would be operating on Valve time.
And the industry has extended the generation cycle over time because the increased specifications aren't generally worth it.