this post was submitted on 02 Oct 2025
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[–] brian@lemmy.ca 4 points 1 month ago (16 children)

Ok. I know that this isn't correct... But isn't it?

If you're having an unlimited number of rolls prior to your "real" roll, then you would be, in essence, creating a situation that has a statistically lower chance of happening.

[–] FearfulSalad@ttrpg.network 22 points 1 month ago (6 children)

Before you roll any dice, the chances of rolling two nat 1s are 1/400. But after you roll your first die, whatever it happened to be, your chances of rolling a nat 1 are 1/20. The chances of the entire scenario have no impact on the probability of the individual rolls

[–] brian@lemmy.ca 1 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Right but the way I took the meme was that you would roll until you get a 1, then deciding the next roll is the "real" one.

[–] Cavemanfreak@lemmy.dbzer0.com 10 points 1 month ago

That's what the meme says, but probability doesn't work that way. If you want the result from a roll, what you've roller before has no bearing on the result from this roll. Thus the chance for a single d20 roll is always 1/20, or 5%.

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