this post was submitted on 01 May 2025
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If we had had^1 a RCB since 2015/16, you would have also seen a response in the orientation of political parties. The fracture between the old Reformers and PC in the federal CPC would probably have resulted in a split. Without the spoiler effect welding the party together I can't see them surviving long.
This also means that Erin O'Toole would probably be leading a more Centre Right PC-style party still, or Carney (who really seems like an old style PC in many ways) would have joined them.
Close to ten years after a potential move to a RCB, the fundamental landscape would likely have shifted.