We're at 21% likelihood for the minority status according to 338 Canada
this post was submitted on 25 Apr 2025
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The liberals are much more likely to form government than the democrats were in 2024. That race was neck and neck.
Look at the demographic shift. Gen z is overwhelmingly conservative and they’re fired up to vote. Then look at the early voting turnout. We’re going to have the same exact outcome as down south where all pollsters predicted a Kamala win and then resulted in a Trump blowout.
It wasn't a Trump blow out, he won due to the rules of our system, by an incredibly small margin, and all the polls before hand were showing a toss up race, probably in Kamala's favor by a small amount.
He won the popular vote. He’s ruling and fundamentally changing how your country works without needing any authorization. People now get scooped off the streets and border areas and disappeared. My country’s economy and political system are under attack by your government and its citizens. He has the overwhelming support and approval of the majority of citizens in the us.
You can’t get away with all of that (and being charged criminally) without overwhelming societal support.
You're mistaking support for our way of life, with support for Trump. We could rise up, we could overrun our own government, on a fairly short time scale. But then we're also in a civil war. Which even assuming we win, in the best possible amount of time, with the least casualties, we still have to rewrite our laws to stop this happening again.
Or, we can sit here and work the system we have. Take fewer casualties, destroy fewer buildings, and have the same, if not better, odds of success. While keeping as much as possible, and rewriting the laws so this doesn't happen again. There are limits on Trump, and what the public will allow. They're just not as touchy as what the rest of the world would allow. Most places operate with much smaller communities, where feedback is much quicker.
Yes I’m sure continuing to “sit there” and just working within the system you have while your regime rewrites the rules of said system will get you a better outcome. Good luck with everything.
That's just it though, Trump hasn't rewritten anything. He's made a lot of noise, violated a lot of norms, and laws, but he hasn't actually changed anything other than reputation. He hasn't even changed the real budget, the second easiest thing for him to do. None of his executive orders are laws, the constitution isn't going anywhere, and he's not going to be amending it any time soon.
That’s false he never had a 51% approval rating.
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