this post was submitted on 31 Mar 2025
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I'm not really sure what's stopping Putin, but at least all the previous times he's declared how many new soldiers the Russia will recruit, they've fallen very short of that number.
What is known is that the Russia's recruitment capacity is 25 000 to 35 000 new soldiers per month. It is not able to reform during wartime, because that reform would cause a mess for a few years, lowering the capacity for first.
He's saying he'll recruit those soldiers within 4 months. That translates to 40 000 per month, which vows over even the pessimistic estimates for its recruitment capacity. And that would mean that they only recruit conscripts and nobody else during those four months. Of they recruit others than conscripts, they have that much less capacity for the conscription.