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Russia could start a major war in Europe within 5 years, Danish intelligence warns
(www.politico.eu)
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Likely sooner now that Trump is sucking Putin's cock.
Most likely this year. Every year they wait will be harder on them because of demographics. Having Trump in the WH basically guarantees that article 5 is DOA.
And when they do, China will most likely attempt to take Taiwan for the same reasons.