this post was submitted on 18 Jan 2025
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Vincent Oriedo, a biotechnology scientist, had just such a question. What lessons have been learned, he asked, from Harris’s defeat in this vital swing county in a crucial battleground state that voted for Joe Biden four years ago, and how are the Democrats applying them?

“They did not answer the question,” he said.

“It tells me that they haven’t learned the lessons and they have their inner state of denial. I’ve been paying careful attention to the influencers within the Democratic party. Their discussions have centred around, ‘If only we messaged better, if only we had a better candidate, if only we did all these superficial things.’ There is really a lack of understanding that they are losing their base, losing constituencies they are taking for granted.”

“We have set ourselves up for generational loss because we keep promoting from within leaders that that do not criticise the moneyed interests. They refuse to take a hard look at what Americans actually believe and meet those needs.”

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[–] HellsBelle@sh.itjust.works 20 points 2 years ago (1 children)

In a 2-party system why should Dems even bother trying to change themselves or how the party operates? I mean they are (or used to be anyway) guaranteed to be voted in again at some point in the future.

As for the last election imo they just didn't look far enough ahead to see the danger of Trump 2.0. They dilly dallied around with dumb shit, only paying attention to billionaires, completely ignored Americans' views on Isreal, showed almost zero interest in reigning in food/housing conglomerates' profits, etc.

[–] ryathal@sh.itjust.works 11 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Trump got massive gains in several key demographics that are key to long term party success. Most notably Hispanics, which are closing in on the predominant demographic. The wins for men and non college educated people are also a problem, they aren't as important, but you can't afford to lose such large demographics by such a large margin.

While no Republicans have really shown to be able to maintain the a fervent base like Trump's, it's extremely risky to just trust that people will flock back to the Democrats in a future Trumpless election. A more palatable republican with 75% of Trump's base could easily see a Reagan level landslide victory.

[–] NoneOfUrBusiness@fedia.io 3 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Along this vein, something I don't see people talking about is that if the current Gaza ceasefire holds Trump will (justifiably or not) take credit for it and at least Michigan will become a solid red state not unlike Florida. Maybe Arizona too if that one popp is to be believed.

[–] ryathal@sh.itjust.works -1 points 2 years ago (2 children)

Politically supporting Palestine is a terrible move for either party outside the Dearborn area in Michigan. There isn't a relevant mass of people that actually care, Lemmy is a massive echo chamber of a minority position on this.

[–] WoodScientist@sh.itjust.works 4 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (1 children)

Politically supporting Palestine is a terrible move for either party outside the Dearborn area in Michigan. There isn’t a relevant mass of people that actually care

[CITATION NEEDED]

[–] ryathal@sh.itjust.works 0 points 2 years ago (1 children)

We just had tons of exit polls. Foreign policy was a primary issue for around 5% of voters. Support for Israel was considered not enough or about right by a significant majority 60%+. You can pick whatever news source you like, the results are within a few points of each other.

[–] WoodScientist@sh.itjust.works 4 points 2 years ago (1 children)

And you don't see the glaring obvious problem with relying on EXIT POLLS, when the primary cause Kamala lost was because a substantial portion of Biden's voter base simply stayed home?

[–] ryathal@sh.itjust.works 1 points 2 years ago (1 children)

You'd rather rely on feels and a mythical silent majority?

[–] WoodScientist@sh.itjust.works 3 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

No, I'm relying on polls that actually poll people who voted for Biden but stayed home in 2024. Among those 19 million people, who exit polls would not capture, a full third of them cited Gaza as their reason for staying home.

https://www.commondreams.org/news/harris-gaza

And we're not talking about a silent majority. We are however talking about a crucial slice of the base that Democrats need if they want any hope of winning a national election.