Texas

This state is too gerrymandered to flip the legislature without an absolutely massive sea change of voter sentiment, turnout alone isn't enough. It has to be turnout in a midterm election to flip the a state-wide seat and be that first crack in the wall. We came damn close with Beto in 2018, and now were up against a nominee so unpopular he was impeached by his own party. Get out and vote this year!