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Prices are gonna get worse.
Here is why.
China and the strait of hormuz are both responsible for providing the U.S with fertilizer.
And both are no longer providing this.
Here it is May. The Spring planting season. No fertilizer. No crops being planted.
Not to mention all the farm bankruptcies a few months back.
A lot of farming is needed for animal feed. Like. A fuck ton of it.
When the price of grains goes up due to an absolute certain crippled supply (come the fall), there will be mass culling of animal stock. And then mass layoffs and closures of animal farms.
The ones staying open will have to charge more than double.
You thought eggs were expensive last year?
Go ahead and set up a chicken coop in your back yard now cause that's gonna be the only protein you can afford by this time next year.
Feed is going to at least double. So I suggest buying now. Vacuum bag it. Store it in cold dry dark place.
People don't realize that things that happen today have big ramifications later.
Even if fertilizer is restored soon, it's too late for this year.
YEAR. That means consequence of this will impact things for almost 2 years. Likely effects felt for a decade.
It's going to get real bad.
Local owned small Restaurants who are already struggling with high food costs will close.
More fast food chains will go out too.
Don't forget that alcohol relies on farms.
Bars will close. Vinyards will go babkrupt.
So much of the economy relies on the farming industry.
“No crops being planted.”
Source, please.
Exaggerated point. Much lower crops are being planted. Corn and wheat specifically for big crops.
But other types of vegetables too.
Do none of y'all watch the news?
With diesel cost sky rocketing and some necessary fertilizers increasing in cost, in addition to increasing farm bankruptcies from last year and this year it's inevitable.
How can any of you honestly believe this isn't going to have huge ramifications?
Lowest planting of wheat crops in 56 years. (Ref reuters link)
https://www.fb.org/market-intel/farm-bureau-survey-reveals-real-impact-of-fertilizer-availability-and-price
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-farmers-plant-less-corn-iran-war-spikes-fertilizer-prices-2026-04-01/
https://www.denverpost.com/2026/04/19/colorado-farms-crops-drought-water/
https://www.news8000.com/news/farmers-choosing-not-to-plant/video_787ff22e-5cab-5115-9db4-1e33dee59627.html
https://www.reddit.com/r/farming/comments/1stiybn/some_minnesota_farmers_skipping_planting_season/ Ref video https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=gCO1pSnnAwk
Yes. Farms are going bankrupt at higher rates since Trump.
https://minnesotareformer.com/2026/05/26/minnesota-led-the-nation-in-farm-bankruptcies-in-the-first-quarter-and-farmers-are-anxious/
https://democrats.org/news/icymi-farm-bankruptcies-spike-46-from-last-year-as-trumps-toxic-agenda-brings-economic-pain-to-american-farmers/
https://aurn.com/farm-bankruptcies-rise-under-trump-administration/
The US produces most of its fertilizer locally, and most of the fertilizer it does import comes from Canada.
"No crops being planted" is just wrong: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/news/article/2026/05/11/crop-progress-corn-57-planted-49-28
But it will affect crop yields globally, which means what yields there are, will have to be spread thinner, raising prices. Same with oil prices. Our economy doesn't exist in a vacuum. Shortages elsewhere still have an impact on us.
I agree, the US still has international exposure and will feel impacts from it. I mostly had issue with the claims that the US isn't planting enough in 2026 and will have to cull livestock because of it. It's just not true. Most of the planting has been done and is being fertilized with supply that was secured before the shock. 2027 will likely be the tougher year, but it still won't be because the US can't plant anything.
I'm hearing spikes in domestic costs for farmers here for one of the fertilizers used a lot. And smaller increases in some of the others.
And also we import a lot of food. So everyone affected, affects us.
https://www.agweb.com/news/business/strait-hormuz-crisis-why-fertilizer-relief-years-away-u-s-farmers
https://www.npr.org/2026/03/26/g-s1-115240/iran-war-strait-hormuz-fertilizer-exports-farmers-planting-season
https://www.fao.org/newsroom/detail/strait-of-hormuz-crisis--fertilizer-scarcity-will-affect-next-harvests-and-food-supplies--fao-warns/en
Soy is up but corn is down. https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-corn-planting-seen-down-soy-acres-up-iran-war-inflates-costs-analysts-say-2026-03-27/
Which is mostly what livestock feed is made from.
Spring wheat plantings expected at lowest since 1970.
That's 56 years ago. Just to put in context. And wheat is a big part of American diets. Also used in animal feed.