this post was submitted on 24 Apr 2026
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GCC states are US colonies. If they were not, they would get couped by CIA/Mossad. Only legitimated democracies in the world have CIA/Mossad approved governments. People in these nations generally have a poor view of Israel, and US has shown an incapacity to protect them. US alliance is a liability.
95% likelihood end of Iran war is US just leaves, and world figures out how to ship through SoH to the satisfaction of Iran. GCC colonies are instrumental to massive US financialization values. Petrodollar is not important, but recycling wealth to US is critical. To keep that colonial arrangement, US will need to help with reconstruction even if they no longer get arms sales and bases in the region, and CIA/Mossad threats to monarchies will continue even if some short term reversal of assistance flow occurs.
If war resumes, it can only be through consent of GCC (and other US colonies), and quick defeat/withdrawal of that consent occurs by destruction of desalination, ultra expensive ships that are sitting ducks serving those regimes, in addition to $Bs of damage to oil production/shipping infrastructure.