this post was submitted on 17 Apr 2026
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I really don't agree with your assessment. I find it overly critical of Ukraine's position and naively optimistic of Russia's, based on publicly available information and the trajectory of the war over the last 6-12 months.
Fact is m*scovites are learning and can produce a lot more hardware, and even if they are completely stopped tomorrow it's a win for them.
not if Ukranian drones keep blowing up their oil and gas refineries and their manufacturing plants
There were like 0 successful attacks that stopped manufactoring completely and there can't be without (much) heavier payloads in attack means, as in something analogous to at least kab-500 in payload that can be tossed every day by hundreds. And we still don't have a functioning explosive and gunpowder plants twelve years after the war started.
attacks don't need to stop manufacturing "completely" to be successful, and comparing total payloads is meaningless when targets are different in scope, especially if the strike is tactical and effective. and considering the massive foreign weapons shipments Ukraine is getting, those weapons plants don't seems as important as the very functioning drone industry
I think your view is a bit twisted by (somewhat true) but essentially misleading news. And massive foreign weapons shipments don't change situation or change it in insignificant ways due to them being either limited in number or scope. There is no real drone industry as long as all microelectronics is bought from china. We can produce everything as long as china allows us and they are firmly in m*scovite corner.
Also attacks along frontline with heavy bombs will stop advance completely or almost completely.
look, you're not really backing up what you're saying with anything, and the logic of your arguments doesn't hold up to scrutiny. you haven't changed my mind, and I don't see the point in continuing this debate.
have a nice day.