this post was submitted on 09 Apr 2026
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[–] CanadaPlus@futurology.today 151 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (2 children)

Since then, betting markets show Orbán's stock has fallen marginally, though there is no suggestion that his declining fortunes have been caused by Vance's intervention.

So betting markets not polls, which would be pricing in the diminishing uncertainty as the day draws near, and it wasn't like a sudden drop either.

There might not be a story here. Orban was losing, and he's still losing.

[–] Mvlad88@lemmy.world 26 points 2 days ago (2 children)

So someone will bet big on him on Friday and they'll do everything possible that he wins.

[–] CanadaPlus@futurology.today 16 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

If you're in Fidesz you already have a major financial stake in him winning. And maybe a stay-out-of-jail stake.

[–] Bullerfar@lemmy.world 11 points 2 days ago

Remember Trumps son is a part of pollymarkets board

[–] AmidFuror@fedia.io 6 points 2 days ago

Hopefully he doesn't lose like Nicolas Maduro lost the last election.