this post was submitted on 26 Mar 2026
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thanks for the graphics, I wasn't accessing the study. i'm familiar with confidence intervals and p values but this is great for anyone who isn't.
the first year's plot looks within range, but the 72% point is a major change! something definitely happened with 13-24 year olds that year, but especially 13-17 year olds.
I see a definite occurrence that the suicide rates increased after those laws. and i'm wondering how we can be sure that it was because of the laws and not something else that happened around the same time?
i think that a reliable study reasonably isolates out other possible factors.
This data is based on a large number of different laws passed in 15 different states. They started from 48 laws in 19 states between 2018 and 2022, then excluded any passed in the first half of the year, because they were taking measurements in the second half of the year and wanted a whole year to have passed before they took their measurements. These two graphs you see are the composite of around 24 different anti-trans laws, passed in different years. The only common IV is the laws.