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Sanchez was already polling ahead of the PP and Vox prior to the Iran War - https://www.theolivepress.es/spain-news/2026/02/19/surprise-polling-reveals-left-wing-pedro-sanchezs-psoe-holds-10-point-lead-over-pp/.
And his opposition to Trump, while Vox was eager to lick his boots, is a big plus here.
This is not true the PSOE has not overtaken PP in the polls since 2022.
https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/spain/
Vox has climbing up for so long now that they might surpass PSOE and become the second biggest party in the country. If they form a coalition with PP then it's over. The poll you cited to be an outlier in the data.
Actually in the very article you posted, the biggest issue to people is housing followed by immigration. Sanchez just adopted a law giving residency to half a million illegal immigrants permanent residency despite it being an unpopular move. Consider how this is both Vox and PP forte, you know that the propaganda they'll run is going to be historic. I have a very hard time seeing Sanchez and PSOE winning the election. If the right wing coalition wins then Spain is going to look a lot more Italy's or Germany's current governments.