this post was submitted on 16 Mar 2026
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How to win at war:
But what if the foe is really the Epstein files?
Then you have lost both the battle and the war.
And knowing is half the battle.
Then it was a stupid plan even from an electoral point of view.
I have an ongoing half joking bet since the 2nd day in the war that Trump will be talking about the parties in the island to distract people from the side effects of the war by June.
Sending the price of gas to the stratosphere, replacing the petrodollar schema by petroyuan, increasing the military spending by a huge margin, and antagonizing the entire world aren't enough of a distraction to guarantee people won't be thinking about it in the elections.
But doing that with 9 months of time for it to impact all the business and family budgets in your country is.
Double down on the distraction.
Ooh look, we've got Marines to deploy!
The real enemy was the secrets we made along the way.
Don't forget 6. Profit
oh that is deff not going to be the endstate of this.
Threaten partners with tariffs. The same thing you've been slapping them with for absolutely no reason since you came into office. The same things that these partners now just expect to have to deal with when your mood changes. The same thing that courts have decided are illegal and that you can't actually enforce.
He also threatened to invade some of us.
And that was before the Strait of Hormuz situation.
He can't convince former allies to help out of goodwill and solidarity because he's done everything possible to destroy that goodwill since he came into office.
He also can't convince them to help out of fear of the consequences either, because he has already imposed those consequences.
In addition, even if he had a threat or a reward that was meaningful, the one thing that's clear about Trump is that he never keeps his word. He doesn't even adhere to treaties that are legally binding. So, if he promised something extremely valuable, he probably wouldn't deliver. OTOH, if he threatened something extremely dire, he would probably chicken out.