- machine learning models will continue to improve their output somewhat but gains will be incremental and the intrinsic problems with ml-derived content (e.g hallucinations, context window limitations, long-term coherency) will remain
- open source models will catch up with commercial ones
- the smaller ml companies (like openai and anthropic) will be absorbed, probably by Microsoft and Amazon
- The increasing cost of hardware and energy will force companies to raise prices for ml subscriptions and eventually lock ml features behind paywalls
- Computer parts will remain expensive for a long time
- Programmers will collectively spend the next decade wrestling with the consequences of filling their codebases with millions of lines of ai generated code
- Google images will never fully recover
this post was submitted on 15 Mar 2026
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