this post was submitted on 13 Mar 2026
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Trump is now caught in the oldest trap of modern warfare – believing a swift, surgical military operation will yield quick, enduring political results. The Soviets did it in Afghanistan; the US in Iraq in 2003; Putin did it in Ukraine, and is still fighting. Whatever force a military fails or succeeds in applying at the start, the people it is attacking have greater commitment to defending their lands and homes.

The White House may have rushed into this, seizing the opportunity for a decapitation strike, provided by Israeli intelligence. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has very different objectives regionally, and a long US involvement against Tehran suits his desire for an Iran in rolling collapse that is no longer a threat. But the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on February 28 has caused as many problems as it has solved.

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[–] mirshafie@europe.pub 13 points 12 hours ago* (last edited 12 hours ago) (3 children)

Honestly I believe Iran would accept:

  • Full sanctions relief
  • Return to IAEA inspections
  • Pinky-promise not to attack again
  • Fake reparations program spread out over 30 years

The alternative is:

  • The US is evicted from the Persian Gulf
  • The US fucks off from Iraq, and Iraq gets an Iran-friendly government
  • Bahrain gets regime change
  • All goods through the strait are now controlled by Iran

The worse/better alternative is:

  • Pipelines and refineries in the Arabian nations go boom
  • All US/Israel trade through the Red Sea is blocked
  • US is starved out of Djibouti
  • Iran gets a nuclear weapon and says they're going to "test it" on Tel Aviv unless Netanyahu sucks a donkey dick on OnlyFans

Choose wisely, pedophile scum

[–] Skyrmir@lemmy.world 4 points 6 hours ago

There's a lot darker option. US and Israel tag team the populace in a genocide, shut down Iranian oil production while protecting the rest of OPEC. Leading to massive profits for Russia, some profits for US oil companies, and massive bankruptcy in Europe while crippling their manufacturing base. Which leaves the US, Russia, and China with functioning autocratic economies that can carve up the rest of the world. And the other nuclear powers are left to dismantle their own military to feed their people.

[–] GenosseFlosse@feddit.org 4 points 9 hours ago

We could even throw in a FIFA peace price!

[–] MisterD@lemmy.ca 1 points 7 hours ago

Onlyfans? Maybe pay per view